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    COMEX Delivery Wednesday, Not Capable of Inducing Genetic Changes in Human Cells

    Weekly Market Commentary 1 October 2021
    by davefairtex

    Sunday, October 3, 2021, 7:41 PM

Market Commentary

Its hard to know where to focus right now – there is so much going on.

First of all this was “COMEX PM delivery week”, specifically, Wednesday was the big delivery day. So guess what happened to silver on Wednesday? It got crapped on – and not by a little either. Silver plunged more than 4%, and ended the day without even a hint of a bounce off the lows. Was there a big drop in open interest as the banksters rang the cash register on an exciting drop in price? No.

On Thursday and Friday – once first notice day was safely past – silver regained all of its losses, plus a little bit more. Amazing!

My guess: the banksters really don’t want people standing for silver delivery right now. Also – my code is having a very difficult time sorting out the trend in silver right now. The signals that used to work – they no longer work so well. Here’s that “deliveries” chart:

On the week, silver was up +0.14 [+0.62%], and that (weekly) bullish reversal “high wave” candle (chart below) had a very high rating. It may be that silver has put in a low. Have I said that before? Oh yeah. And then it dropped some more. This week saw a new multi-year low.

Gold also saw its low occur on “Delivery Wednesday” – looking a whole lot like silver, although with a much shallower plunge – and then it too bounced back strongly on Thursday/Friday.

Gold ended the week up +11.61 [+0.66%]. Gold printed a weekly (takuri line – highly rated) bullish reversal this week too, although the trend code isn’t quite as convinced just yet. You can see that gold didn’t make a new multi-month low, unlike what happened with silver.

The buck had a strong week, up +0.76%, making a new 12-month high on Thursday, only to sell off somewhat on Friday. Sorting out what moves the buck these days is not so easy. There’s the fate of the $1.2 trillion “child care = infrastructure” package, plus the $3.5 trillion “Grandpa’s Goodies for the Donors” package, and then there’s also the debt limit issue (which was temporarily raised this week). How will “the Mansion & Synema moderate Democrats” storyline play out? Is $5 trillion a bridge too far? Maybe the “moderates” will get super tough and hold out for “just $4 trillion.”

And there’s also the fuss about various nations running short on coal, and natural gas, which doesn’t bode well for “growth”, which might cause a flight to safety which remains (at least for now) the US dollar.

So the buck is in a mild uptrend – but it did print a (daily “swing high”) bearish reversal on Friday. So – no promises about the rally continuing.

While palladium [-2.41%] and platinum [-0.51%] remain in fairly strong downtrends, copper [-1.87%] appears to be holding up reasonably well, at least in terms of trend. Copper remains above its 200 MA, unlike all the other metals. Lumber [-0.31%] has been moving sideways for about a month now. Commercial shorts remain low for all these commodities. The banksters do not want to be short commodities. I think that’s a bullish signal. The well-connected banksters appear to be setting up for a commodities rally.

Crude made a new multi-year high this week, up +2.38% to 75.62 – scoring the highest intraday close since 2018. Crude is less than a buck away from price levels not seen since the big crude smash of 2014-2015. The master resource appears to be ready to break out to higher levels.

US crude production continues to slowly recover from the hurricane.

Equities fell this week [-2.21%], closing below the 50 MA for the first time in several months, and is now in a downtrend in all 3 timeframes. There was a bizarre bifurcation in the sector map this week: sickcare [-3.65%] & tech [-3.39%] led the market lower, while energy [+5.46%] screamed higher. That energy outlier-move appears to be about shortage – or at least projected shortage – rather than “increased economic activity” as the driver for price. This all continues to scream “continued inflation.” No doubt transitory. Right, Jerome? The flat financials also suggested that the banksters like what is going on. My guess – higher short-term rates are ahead. [peering at mortage rates: +13 bp this week alone! Yes, that seems to fit. Higher net interest margin = banksters are more profitable.]

The plunge in sickcare may have had to do – at least in part – with the potential “end of the pandemic” due to the miracle on-patent drug “Molnupiravir” [$700/treatment], which performed in perfectly-designed clinical trials a little bit worse than Ivermectin [$30/treatment]. But no matter – there was great rejoicing! MRNA [-21%] shareholders weren’t so pleased, however. “But what about our booster program!”

As mentioned – mortgage rates ticked higher. Rates will not stay at 3.01% if inflation becomes “non-transitory.” Unless Powell buys buy all the mortage-backed securities – in which case, the buck would – probably – crash if he did. Just a guess though. I don’t think we’ll be seeing 2.65% 30-year mortgages again.

Three economic series I watch were released this week:

  • Durable goods: orders [+1.76%], shipments [-0.47%]. Mildly positive.
  • Auto/light truck sales: headline [-11.96%], autos [-13.87%]. Tough to be a car dealer right now.  I wonder if they’re regretting all those CCP supply chains which appeared “so cheap” for so long.
  • GDP: headline [+3.09%], PCE [+4.31%], Fed Govt spending [-7.76%], State & Local gov [+2.81%].

I’m guessing that plunge in Federal spending is why President Grandpa’s handlers are so desperate for that $5 trillion spending package. “Goodies for the Donors” – plus all the random gotchas tucked away in the 2500 page bill. Example: max OSHA fine is setting up to be $700,000 – for “a single unvaxxed employee.”

How it started: “Black Lives Matter!” Burn down cities until we get those bad police defunded!
How it is going: “Unvaxxed Black People Can’t Eat At Restaurants!” = “Jim Crow 3.0!” Because – Science!!

I suspect most who voted for President Grandpa – he sounded so reasonable, and so non-Orange, in his basement! – couldn’t possibly imagine this would be the outcome. Grandpa’s handlers might think that $5 trillion in spending could paper over all of their failed policies with some temporary stimulus – enough to get them through the midterms.

Problem is, we’ve got shortages right now. We are witnessing a supply chain disaster. And some massive fossil-fuel shortages (coal, natgas, and – to an extent – crude). Now try dropping another $5 trillion in printed-money-spending into that environment. Do prices get cheaper, or more expensive? BLS-calculated inflation could be in the double-digits by November 2022. PPI might be 30%. It could happen.

Who does this hurt worst? Oligarchy won’t care. So the price of JP4 doubles. Yawn. Inflation is one of those regressive taxes – it hits poor and middle-class people worst of all. And those on pensions too. And savers. I.e. It hits the voters worst of all.

I can just imagine President Grandpa’s handlers (and their higher-ups) dutifully trying to rig the 2022 election in the same way they rigged the election of 2020 – but during a massive cost-push inflationary disaster which was brought about by their absurd spending and Fed printing. I do not think the outcome would be the same.

To President Grandpa: “Be careful what you wish for. You might just get it.”

News That Caught My Eye

Molnupiravir has arrived!  As mentioned, the news devastated MRNA stock prices – but what’s the detail behind the excitement?  First – Pharma press weighs in:

Merck’s COVID-19 pill cuts risk of death, hospitalization by 50% in study

A planned interim analysis of 775 patients in Merck’s study found that 7.3% of those given molnupiravir were either hospitalized or had died by 29 days after treatment, compared with 14.1% of placebo patients. There were no deaths in the molnupiravir group, but there were eight deaths of placebo patients.

Source

Did you see what they did there?  They combined “hospitalizations and deaths” and came up with a 48% reduction.

The study enrolled patients with laboratory-confirmed mild-to-moderate COVID-19, who had symptoms for no more than five days. All patients had at least one risk factor associated with poor disease outcome, such as obesity or older age.

Merck has said data shows molnupiravir is not capable of inducing genetic changes in human cells, but men enrolled in its trials have to abstain from heterosexual intercourse or agree to use contraception. Women of child-bearing age cannot be pregnant and also have to use birth control.

Interesting.  Definitely no genetic changes.  None at all.  Merck says so!  And yet…

Molnupiravir promotes SARS-CoV-2 mutagenesis via the RNA template

Preclinical data in cell culture revealed a dose-dependent increase in G to A and C to U transition mutations that correlated with increases in antiviral effects against coronaviruses.  Molnupiravir is therefore classified as a mutagenic nucleotide analogue.

Source

So let’s give it a shot, tell the boys not to have (heterosexual!) sex, note that nothing awful happened during the 29-day period even though the mechanism of action is to force (hopefully) “only the virus” to mutate (presumably in a mostly-non-productive way), and proclaim: “it’s all good!”

Molnupiravir!  (*)

(*) definitely NOT capable of inducing genetic changes in human cells.


CCP Hikvision meets Siri meets Roomba meets Alexis meets Robocop!  Brought to you by Bezos!  With cartoon eyes and a cupholder!  It just doesn’t get any cuter than this.

Amazon’s controversial vision for the future of your home security

During an invite-only press conference on Tuesday, the company showed off an autonomous, 20-pound dog-like robot named Astro with large, cartoon-y eyes on its tablet face and a cup holder. The robot — not unlike an Alexa on wheels — uses voice-recognition software, cameras, artificial intelligence, mapping technology and voice- and face-recognition sensors as it zooms from room to room, capturing live video and learning your habits.

On the Astro product page, Amazon notes the robot’s microphones, cameras and sensors will be disconnected when powered off. When Astro is recording, a light will turn green and it can be programmed to avoid certain areas of the house. In addition, images of faces can be deleted and anything that’s sent to the cloud will be encrypted. Astro does create a map of the home based on where the robot explores, but the company said that data, which is sent to the cloud, does not contain actual images or streamed video.

Source

Oh yes.  I’m going to trust apex-Oligarch Bezos with the intimate details of my life.  Clearly Alexa just wasn’t intrusive enough.

I’m sure the adorable 20-pound “Astro” would never build a dossier and then summon the police if I showed any sort of “anti-vaxxer” or “insurrectionist” or … literally whatever ran against the prevailing Oligarchy narratives.  “Astro” would never do that to me!  He’s mine!  Well, except for the software….and the upgrades…

But this tells you where Oligarchy intends to take things.  Oligarchy Total Situational Awareness.  With some “pretend-security” as the come-on.

Even CNN sounds a little iffy about the whole thing.

Taliban = good, Orange Man = bad!


Trump asks U.S. judge to force Twitter to restart his account

In the court filing, Trump argued Twitter allowed the Taliban to tweet regularly about their military victories across Afghanistan, but censored him during his presidency by labeling his tweets as “misleading information” or indicating they violated the company’s rules against “glorifying violence.”

In July Trump sued Twitter, Facebook Inc and Alphabet Inc’s Google, as well as their chief executives, alleging they unlawfully silence conservative viewpoints.

Source

As we know things just continue to get more egregious w.r.t. censorship.  It will be interesting to see how this plays out. Especially the “discovery” phase.

Bad Orange Man also mentioned that the censorship was executed by Twitter at the behest of the government.  Could be an important case for all of us.


Building Back Better!

The US Postal Service will begin slowing deliveries Friday, part of Postmaster General Louis DeJoy’s 10-year plan to slash costs.

Nearly four in 10 first-class mail packages will be affected by the new standard changes, which will add an additional day or two to delivery time depending on distance, according to the USPS.

Source

Mail gets slower.  That’s Build Back Better in a nutshell – a declining standard of living.


United Airlines Will Let iPhone Users Show Proof of Vaccination in the Apple Health App

Flying during pandemic times just got a bit more convenient for iPhone users traveling on United Airlines.

On Friday, United announced that it would allow iPhone users demonstrate they’ve been vaccinated against covid-19 using the Apple Health app. In order to take advantage of this new service, you must be running iOS 15, which allows individuals to download their verifiable health records and covid-19 test results—via SMART Health Cards—and store them in Apple Health.

Source

Woohoo!  Thank you so much UAL and APPL!  Now I know the team that is totally on my side!

I have just one question: what app do I use if I have durable, long-lasting natural immunity from prior infection?

AAPL?  UAL?  Hello??  Natural immunity??  Science??


For unvaccinated, reinfection by SARS-CoV-2 is likely, study finds

The study, published in the journal The Lancet Microbe, is the first to determine the likelihood of reinfection following natural infection and without vaccination.

Source

Oh no!  Natural immunity is just a short-run thing.  According to this “study”.  Well, except for all the other papers that came first.  And that say something diametrically opposed.  For instance:

During the initial, acute phase of the immune response, antibody levels peak rapidly; this peak is generated by short-lived immune cells called plasma cells. Turner et al.1 present clinical evidence, from people who have had COVID-19, that long-lived, memory plasma cells that produce antibodies are generated in the bone marrow. These cells provide long-term antibody production that offers stable protection at a level of 10–20% of that during the acute phase (blue line). Memory plasma cells are a cell type that can be maintained for many years, if not a lifetime.

Source

And of course the real world evidence:

… Israelis who were vaccinated were 6.72 times more likely to get infected after the shot than after natural infection, with over 3,000 of the 5,193,499, or 0.0578%, of Israelis who were vaccinated getting infected in the latest wave.

Source

“They” are really wrapping themselves around the axle in an effort to pretend that natural immunity does not exist.  No doubt, it is for “health” reasons.  Jut as everything our “health” agencies have done regarding COVID19 has been about “health.”  Lockdowns = for “health.”  Masks = for “health.”  Mandated vaccination even of covid-recovered, and children-not-at-risk = for “health.”

None of this stuff will age well.  I predict: a total collapse of faith in our “health” agencies – media – government – within the next two years.

If not sooner.


Steve Kirsch’s False Testimony On COVID-19 Vaccines Goes Viral The FDA described Steve Kirsch’s statements on COVID-19 vaccines as “not based in science.”

Source

Looks like Steve Kirsch made an impact.  I don’t believe anything until it has been ‘fact-checked’ or ‘officially denied.’  Steve’s FDA statement has now been both fact-checked AND officially denied!  Steve is two-for-two!

Here is his response.


So how’s that Evergrande thing going?

Evergrande misses second offshore bond payment

The company, reeling under a debt pile of $305 billion, was due on Wednesday to make a $47.5 million bond interest payment on its 9.5% March 2024 dollar bond, after having missed $83.5 million in coupon payments last Thursday.

Source

That’s bad news if you’re a foreigner holding Evergrande debt.

One pessimistic fellow thinks this heralds a change in literally everything:

The Evergrande saga ‘is the beginning of the end of China’s growth model as we know it,’ one consultant says. It means the whole world economy will change

Since letting Evergrande default would rock the Chinese economy, Xi is at a crossroads between capitalism with Chinese characteristics and … something else.

“How do you prick a bubble that every single person, from homeowners to local governments, doesn’t want pricked?” Travis Lundy, an independent analyst in Hong Kong, told The Washington Post. “Nobody really wants to see this unwind. If this does, there is going to be a lot of pain.”

“This is the beginning of the end of China’s growth model as we know it,” Leland Miller, CEO of consulting firm China Beige Book, told The New York Times. “The term ‘paradigm shift’ is always overused, so people tend to ignore it. But that’s a good way of describing what’s happening right now.”

Source

Friend-of-the-site Wolf Richter provides his analysis – which goes into a bit more detail:

China’s Crackdown on Debt, Tech & Evergrande Sends Frazzled Wall Street Titans to China

…There is a crackdown on debt to keep the financial system from imploding. There’s a crackdown on property speculation to tamp down on housing prices and on debt. There’s a crackdown on big tech – mostly internet, social media, and online gaming companies – for their monopolistic size and practices and a slew of other issues.

There’s a crackdown on education tech companies that sell off-campus educational courses that have driven the costs of education into the sky, discouraging Chinese couples from having more than one child. There’s a crackdown on all kinds of other activities that include reporting financial news and analysis in a way that the government doesn’t approve.

…In the Chinese markets, China’s crackdown has caused the shares of affected companies to plunge by a combined $1.5 trillion in a matter of months at the low point a little while ago.

But now these Wall Street titans that made huge amounts of money from China’s debt bubble, from the wild property speculation, from monopolistic tech companies, from the hype and hoopla, from their dealings in China, well, they’ve had enough of these crackdowns.

….A Wall Street delegation composed of top executives from Goldman Sachs, mega-asset manager BlackRock, PE firm Blackstone, Citadel, Fidelity, among others, had a three-hour powwow on Thursday with Chinese regulators that included the vice-chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the head of the People’s Bank of China.

Source

So a bunch of Wall Street Oligarchy reps went to China to … do what exactly?  Tell Xi to back off?  Good luck with that.  Xi has an army that isn’t focused on vax mandates and “white rage.”

The CCP sure seems to be pulling the plug on something.  I like Wolf’s prognosis: Evergrande blows up, and the CCP will swoop in and bail out (at least to some degree) all the individual Chinese property buyers.   Foreign bondholders will end up with zip, as will most of the shareholders.  I’m also guessing that the CCP will confiscate some of those billions in “dividends” the CEO sucked out of the company.  Not sure what happens to the Chinese people who invested in the high-interest “wealth management products.”  If the CCP is smart, they’ll claw back any “dividends” issued in excess of profits, and distribute them to the bondholders.

It looks like the “Delta” wave has peaked, and is on the way down.  The timeline for end-o-Delta lines up nicely with the EUA for $700/dose Molnupiravir (*) expected to appear before end of year.

(*) definitely NOT capable of inducing genetic changes in human cells.

One caveat: as winter approaches, the low-vitamin-D season is approaching in the Northern states.  Will there be one more wave up north?  The wave in the south coincided with the hot-air-conditioned-summer.  A “winter wave” in the northern states is a “grey swan”.  Its just too bad the CDC hasn’t done those seroprevalence studies which would tell us how close to actual herd immunity we are.  I’d say CDC is grossly incompetent, but I think it is actually much worse than that.

We really need a clean sweep fore-and-aft of our “health” and “nat-sec” bureaucracies.  Which we freaking pay for!!

Speaking of a possible “low-vitamin-D-season” wave, I’ll leave you with one more COVID-affecting nugget:

Below, find an “obesity prevalence” map: red = “the fattest states in the Union.”

Don’t look now – but this is something useful provided by CDC.  Probably by accident.

 

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38 Comments

  • Sun, Oct 03, 2021 - 9:10pm

    #1
    Dontknownothin

    Dontknownothin

    Status: Gold Member

    Joined: Mar 14 2020

    Posts: 581

    4

    MRNA shorts?

    Dave,

    I'm wondering if we can extrapolate the market sentiment by puts on the mRNA companies. Pfizer may be a bit more convoluted, but I'll bet as options start trending toward price drop we'll see it affect moderna more. And it may be a sign the banksters see the writing on the wall. May be worth a gander.

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  • Sun, Oct 03, 2021 - 11:06pm

    #2
    TWalker5

    TWalker5

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Mar 13 2020

    Posts: 208

    3

    Obesity and COVID Deaths

    A cursory glance at deaths per 1M by state shows a pretty strong correlation with state obesity rates.
    Highest 5 death rates, in order: MS, LA, NJ, AL, NY

    Bottom 5, in order: VT, HI, AK, ME, OR

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 3:49pm

    #3
    Grover

    Grover

    Status: Platinum Member

    Joined: Feb 15 2011

    Posts: 1048

    12

    Red October

    Another fascinating interview with clif high. This one is 1 hour and 34 minutes long. This is the "teaser" of what's in Greg Hunter's interview. The teaser covers the significant points.

    There has been lots of talk on this site about forced vaxxinations and what can be done about it. Since I'm retired and don't like to travel much, it really doesn't affect me. I was wondering how far I'd push it if I were working and dependent on a paycheck. What I concluded was that I did not want the shot and would inform the vaxxinator that I would personally hold them accountable for injecting poison into my body. Then, I would suggest that they inject my handkerchief instead. That way, they could honestly say they delivered the shot and fill out the paperwork accordingly.

    Clif talks about this very thing. He says it will get ugly and people will seek revenge. He also says the 'normies' will wake up to the current reality with up to 30% waking in October. It will be interesting to see how the PP tribe normies respond over time.

    Grover

    https://usawatchdog.com/red-october-end-of-world-as-we-knew-it-clif-high/

    Clif High is an Internet data mining expert who has many well-documented correct forecasts.  He predicted that Bitcoin would rise to $64,000 (it did) when it was less than $10 per unit.  High uses something he calls “Predictive Linguistics” and computer programs to sort through billions of bits of information on the Internet to predict future trends and events.  High’s recent data shows everything is in the process of breaking down.  Food production, trucking, health services, millions will get very sick and many of them will die, the military breaks down, political system breaks down and the financial system will suffer a horrible unfixable crash. High says the breakdowns are getting so bad that he is calling this month “Red October.”  In short, the breakdowns will wake up the masses to all the evil that has been hidden.  High says, “We can follow these things on up to find out where the real evil is, and I hope we don’t destroy our ability to do that in the process of cleaning this out.  We are, at this point, where the ‘normies’ are going to wake up.  But what are they going to wake up to?  Are they going to wake up to Biden cheated?  Are they going to wake up to Biden the traitor at the request of the CCP?  That he assisted the CCP in cheating?  Or are they going to wake up to Biden the Globalist working with the CCP stooges?  There are so many layers it’s going to take a long time for people to come to some understanding.  I think, basically, they will get to a point that they say that’s good enough, I don’t need to know anymore.”

    One very big wakeup call is going to come from our crashing financial system.  High explains, “This hyperinflation is showing up everywhere. . . . We will have the real markets, cost of potatoes, gold, silver and Bitcoin and those things that are outside the dollar system . . . this month, October, I think we will start a bull run in commodity prices that is similar to what happened in Venezuela.  That will be our financial system . . . last gasping breaths.  It will be shuttering and shaking through October, November, and I don’t know if it will be through much of December.  This will be a very . . . crushing time, a very burdensome time.  People need to know we will get through this.  It’s not going to be the end of the world, but it will be the end of the world as we knew it, but the end of the world as we knew it was oppressive.  It was from the people that kept us enslaved.  This is a very terrible time indeed, but it liberates us.”

    High also sees in the data people will wake up to being purposely poisoned and murdered, and this is actually “asymmetrical warfare.”  The Deep State players such as government bureaucrats, drug company executives and doctors who pushed this will face an outraged grieving public.  High says, “. . . This will turn very, very ugly. . . . I don’t even like to talk about it because there is nothing you can do about it. . . . They will come to understand that this was deliberate . . . the data says individuals will take revenge on the people who actually injected them.

    High goes into detail of what he is seeing in the data for years into the future, and it’s not pretty for the evil people who perpetrated this crime against humanity.  High explains, “I am also of the opinion that will carry up the chain, and you will see people take revenge on, basically, world leaders, you know, the politicians and the Bill Gates of the world.”

    High says the data is telling him that “cash will be king” even though the Federal Reserve may go completely away.  High also sees gold at “$20,000 per ounce” and silver vaulting higher day after day.  High contends when it comes to silver in the low $20 per ounce range, “they are actually paying you to take it.”  High also says, “The price of the white metal should be at least $600 per ounce . . . . They are suppressing it by about $580 per ounce, and that means it’s very cheap to buy at the suppressed price.”

    High says Bitcoin will go to “at least $100,000 per unit” and maybe much higher by the end of 2021.

    High’s data also says, “At least 30% of the normies will be awake by the end of October with many more to follow in November and December.”

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 4:20pm

    Blaggers

    Blaggers

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Oct 19 2013

    Posts: 400

    9

    Blaggers said:

    Hey Grover.

    I don't think anyone here at PP are total Normie's (Red Piller's perhaps).

    It may be that many haven't fully explored the Bug and The Woo but I think most of us are heading down that rabbit hole pretty quick 😉

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 4:52pm

    #5

    Jim H

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Jun 08 2009

    Posts: 1590

    10

    More on the Merck RNA drug...

    There is a commenter on Alex Berenson's substack that is making some interesting points regarding the mechanism of action of this new therapeutic;

    https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/so-much-for-vaccine-generated-herd/comments#comment-3120926

    Brian MowreyWrites Unglossed ·23 hr ago
    The Merck pill suppresses RNA polymerase, which douses mRNA transcription in general as far as I can make out. Apparently same mechanism as remdesivir.

    "It attacks the same viral enzyme, the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase, as Gilead Sciences’ remdesivir," - https://cen.acs.org/pharmaceuticals/drug-development/emerging-antiviral-takes-aim-COVID-19/98/web/2020/05

    This makes 0 sense to me. RNA polymerase is not a "viral" enzyme. It does everything. I want my mRNA transcription on, not off. I use it for stuff.

    https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/so-much-for-vaccine-generated-herd/comments#comment-3120998

    https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/so-much-for-vaccine-generated-herd/comments#comment-3121211

     

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 5:10pm

    #6
    Chris Martenson

    Chris Martenson

    Status: Platinum Member

    Joined: Jun 07 2007

    Posts: 6388

    20

    Yeah, About That reinfection "study"

    It's not even a study.  It's a model.  A freaking model, when we have real-world information from Israel that scans across millions of people and has an 873,000+ strong data set of previously infected but not vaccinated people to measure.

    That real, actual study showed a profoundly strong inhibition of reinfection many months after the initial infection.

    These other clowns did what?

    Yeah, you can take your modeled risk and toss it straight into the garbage if the model doesn't match reality.  That's how the world is supposed to work, at least.

    In clown-world, what happens is this useless study is seized onto by people who want to believe in the sacred jab as confirmation that the highest form of protection is delivered via syringe.

    But that isn't the case.  We have the real-world data to prove it too.

    And, oh, by the way, the Sars-1 data showed lasting t-cell memory 17 years after the fact.  So I'm not even clear what these guys were modeling.

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 5:49pm

    Grover

    Grover

    Status: Platinum Member

    Joined: Feb 15 2011

    Posts: 1048

    14

    Normies

    Blaggers wrote:

    Hey Grover.

    I don't think anyone here at PP are total Normie's (Red Piller's perhaps).

    It may be that many haven't fully explored the Bug and The Woo but I think most of us are heading down that rabbit hole pretty quick 😉

    Blaggers,

    There is a whole spectrum of people here at PP. As an example, there are left-wing and right-wing. Some are way far out on the spectrum and some are closer to the middle. I'm not 100% sure of what attributes clif assigns to the term 'normies'; however, I believe one of the strongest qualities is their unwavering belief in the system. There are those here who are so allergic to conspiracy theories against the system that they would defend the system to their death - and believe they are patriotic for doing so.

    Most of us here have strong doubts about the integrity of our systems. Is it surprising that "misinformation" gets banished from social media and popular video sites? Shouldn't media report all sides of a story? Should governments issue as much debt as they have? The normies somehow think all of this is appropriate and inconsequential. It doesn't bother them. I don't know why.

    I try to find places that don't limit thoughtful discourse. That's why I post here. It's easy to place someone on whatever spectrum is important for those who post deeply held thoughts. You can probably guess my gender, age group, political affiliations, etc. if you've read many of my posts. I don't bare my soul completely. I try to conceal it in a frilly negligee (so to speak.)

    If I were to change my tone and direction suddenly and completely, many on this site would know something significant has changed in my outlook. Some would bother to ask why. The point is that it would be noticeable. That's what I'll be looking to see - if someone who always believed in the system starts questioning the integrity of the system.

    Grover

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 5:49pm

    SagerXX

    Status: Gold Member

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    15

    Replying to Obesity and COVID Deaths (post #2)

    Yes, Hawai'i has had a pretty easy time with regard to COVID....even though we have plenty of obesity.  But we also have summer going 12 months a year, so our Vitamin D levels tend to be high all the time -- or at least higher than is usual for the American population at large...  It kinda is really that simple...

     

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 9:28pm

    #9
    Primary Care_MD

    Primary Care_MD

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    6

    any thoughts? Is Evergrande part of the controlled demolition? - quote from The Economist

    "The Evergrande empire comprises 1,300 housing projects in nearly 300 cities, a football team, an island holiday resort with 58 hotels and 15 Chinese Disneyland-like theme parks, now under construction in an eye-popping candy and neon colour palette. It has done this with $300bn of other people’s money, which wasn’t much of a problem until late last year, when the People’s Bank of China and the Ministry of Housing announced new financing rules for real-estate companies. Evergrande is now struggling to manage its debts. If it defaults and the business fails, credit far beyond China will be crunched."
    https://www.economist.com/1843/2021/10/01/sunk-costs-business-failures-from-the-titanic-to-evergrande

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 9:45pm

    Quercus bicolor

    Status: Gold Member

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    I laughed at the modeling study too, Chris

    In the real world of numerical weather prediction, the actual weather outcome is the truth for our model.  Our goal is to get the initial conditions accurately enough and feed the into a model that replicates the real-world laws of physics as closely as possible, especially those that happen at too small a scale to be modeled explicitly and instead must be represented by a parameterization scheme that is essentially our best attempt to describe the bulk processes of things like turbulence and the coalescence of cloud droplets into rain.  And of course, we then test them against the real world and continue to fine tune them.

    The modelling study, as best I can tell, just made s?#t up to get the desired outcome and then totally ignored the validation step.

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 10:52pm

    #11
    davefairtex

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    the best they could do

    Yeah that model was literally the best "Science!!" they could come up with.  And it was pretty pathetic.

    "Why bother looking at real world evidence when you can just construct a bogus model that gives you the answer you want?"

    Thin watery gruel.  Nobody with two functioning brain cells would buy it.

    Concentration camp guards.

     

     

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 11:42pm

    Jim H

    Status: Bronze Member

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    Oh C'mon Sager... can it really be that simple?

    Yes.

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.09.22.21263977v1

    COVID-19 mortality risk correlates inversely with vitamin D3 status, and a mortality rate close to zero could theoretically be achieved at 50 ng/ml 25(OH)D3: Results of a systematic review and meta-analysis

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 11:56pm

    #13

    Jim H

    Status: Bronze Member

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    Posts: 1590

    9

    NIH Director stepping down.. is this a good sign, or a bad sign?

    I'm not sure...

    https://beckernews.com/top-figure-behind-united-states-covid-vaccine-push-is-unexpectedly-stepping-down-42311/

    Dr. Francis Collins is reportedly stepping down from his role as Director at the National Institutes of Health. The news was broken by Politico late Monday night:

    National Institutes of Health Director Francis Collins plans to announce his resignation on Tuesday after nearly three decades at the agency, including 12 years at the helm, three sources tell POLITICO.

    The 71-year-old physician-geneticist led the agency under three consecutive presidents — making him the first presidentially appointed NIH director to serve in more than one administration and the longest-serving NIH director....

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 1:04am

    Arthur Robey

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    4

    Running for Cover

    Here Clif_High provides the context.

    Anticipate a lot of finger pointing. "I dindo nuffing. He made me do it."




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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 7:05am

    #15
    davefairtex

    davefairtex

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    16

    fleeing ahead of the consequences

    Arguably, COVID19 is the most important event in the history of the NIH.  And Collins is the "commander" of this very important organization.

    Did Ike resign as CinC in the middle of the invasion of Europe?  He did not.

    But the NIH director IS resigning - in a very similar circumstance.

    Note that Collins was completely fine with 18 months of "No Treatments For You" (unless we count "remdesivir" as a treatment), as well as economy-destroying lockdowns, useless mask mandates, and mandating shots for children to go to university.

    But after all this "success", something is causing him to bail out now.

    Perhaps: he is fleeing ahead of "the consequences."   Just like the other two people who ran the vaccine group.  Nobody wants to take the blame for what's about to happen.

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 7:25am

    RandomMike

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    RandomMike said:

    I followed Cliff for several years long ago @ urban survival com. Sensational misleading info just like now. Disgusting.

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 8:11am

    #17

    Rector

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    Clif High - What's the deal

    I have watched his interviews/videos in the past and remain unimpressed.  What exact digital alchemy does he use to predict the future?  I don't quite understand why (other than his successful prediction track record) we should listen to him.  I don't necessarily disagree with him, but I didn't see much data or evidence to support his descriptions of future events.  Can someone enlighten me as to the validity of "predictive liguistics"?

    Rector

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 8:13am

    DaveDD

    DaveDD

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    8

    I wonder if they can really flee

    Once Israel awakens to to bitter truth that some psychopaths wanted to complete the work started by the nazis, I wonder if the Mosad will treat them with the same courtesy they showed some fled nazis by kidnapping them and have them convicted. I'm pretty sure they will not go through the trouble of "bothering" the judicial system with it...

     

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 8:33am

    408_Request_Timeout

    408_Request_Timeout

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    7

    Re: Collins resignation

    That's interesting. I think that one could be good or bad. I think if they announce a replacement right away, it's more likely to be bad. Collins was a useful idiot for TPTB but probably not the most evil of the orcs in Mordor. It could be they have someone selected to really move the agenda forward more effectively now and to them this is just making room. So basically, I think it's probably good if it was really his call (is he starting to feel some actual heat? we can dream, right?), bad if it's not.

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 8:47am

    #20
    brushhog

    brushhog

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    Clif high

    I have watched his interviews/videos in the past and remain unimpressed.  What exact digital alchemy does he use to predict the future?  I don't quite understand why (other than his successful prediction track record) we should listen to him.  I don't necessarily disagree with him, but I didn't see much data or evidence to support his descriptions of future events.  Can someone enlighten me as to the validity of "predictive liguistics"?

    I've enjoyed Clif's interviews and videos but he always seemed a little nutty to me. Recently in one of his videos he admits to being a "paranoid schizophrenic". And he wasnt just engaging in humor, he was dead serious.

    Now that doesnt invalidate everything he says but you'll have to take it all with a big grain of salt. Consider he claims to have "died 3 times" and attributes alot to aliens and such. What do they say? If it walks like a duck?

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 11:03am

    Arthur Robey

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    4

    So now we are psychiatrists?

    Suggested reading before we start commenting on paranoid schizophrenia.

    "The Madness of Adam and Eve" by Horrobin

    "Mad in America" and possibly the movie "A Beautiful Mind".

    It is no Great Thing to be "Normal".

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 11:44am

    #22
    davefairtex

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    clif's theory

    His theory is that humans are psychic, they don't know it, but unconsciously they can and do predict the future.  (He tells of witnessing a whole plane-full of people who got all jumpy about ten seconds before lightning struck the plane; that was his aha moment).

    So his mechanism is to assess changes in language of individual posters (i.e. the same poster starts using different words, he assumes this "means something"), and the uses the law of big numbers to see what the whole herd might be predicting.

    I did something similar with news, about 10-12 years ago.  I looked at the various words, gave them ratings and classification, and tried to see if the news could predict market moves.  Turns out - no.  News is stupid.  It predicts trend changes about six weeks after the trend has already changed.

    As for the schizophrenia thing - this is something else that niacin addresses.  Hoffer again - the adrenochrome theory.  It requires really mega doses though.  How much of "crazy" is just chemical imbalance?  I think a lot.  But that's just me.

    It is pretty clear that Clif sees a different world than the rest of us.  Is he right?

    No idea.

    Currently Clif says things don't work so well any more due to the censorship.

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 12:14pm

    brushhog

    brushhog

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    brushhog said:

    Arthur, I am not a psychiatrist but the people who diagnosed Clif with paranoid schizophrenia were.

    Like I said, it doesnt invalidate everything he is saying but at the end of the day he is a paranoid schizophrenic who is saying some off the wall things. Its a mental illness that causes people to lose touch with reality.

    That being said I do believe that people who hear voices and lose touch with our reality can sometimes see and predict things. They might touch on  something that other folks cant. Thats why I do listen to Clif ...with a grain of salt.

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 12:15pm

    #24
    unrepentant cynic

    unrepentant cynic

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    4

    Clif High

    Back in the day, I used to follow him and his information was weird and just wasn't relevant. His predictions weren't coming to pass.

    Now however... it might be a different case. Two of the things I actually remember from his old linguistics report are "sun disease" [corona virus?] and "refuseniks" [anti-vaxxers?] and they seem to have shown up. Recently, he predicted something anxiety-causing happening between the 4th and the 10th  of October. Well, for many, Facebook going down did cause anxiety.

    He's got a Bitchute channel. The information is interesting; is it accurate? IDK. It seems that things he claimed would happen years ago might be manifesting now. I think he'd make an interesting interview, as long as you realize that he's on the fringe and has a very roundabout way of thinking and expressing himself.

     

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 4:29pm

    #25
    Jon

    Jon

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    3

    Are you sure it’s not deflation that’s coming?

    Everything that is pointing to inflation can be a supply shortage.  What happens when those cargo ships get the trucks they need to unload?

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 5:16pm

    000

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Dec 10 2013

    Posts: 319

    0

    000 said:

    Anyone remember Dr Gallo?

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 5:49pm

    Primary Care_MD

    Primary Care_MD

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    5

    Primary Care_MD said:

    I think the bankers want Fauci out of the picture, asap, because he didn't get the vax rates close to their target. But they can't fire him, or he might squeal. So they promote him, after forcing Collins to retire. As NIH dir, he'll quietly disappear from the spotlight. We'll see fairly soon if my theory pans out.

    see also my comments under this topic:

    Dr. Mercola/Dr David Martin interview – outstanding

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  • Wed, Oct 06, 2021 - 2:08am

    #28
    David Allan

    David Allan

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    18

    clif high

    I've only recently been introduced to Clif Highs work.  I normally prefer a science based approach but despite that I find Clif interesting and entertaining. I find him to have integrity. He's probably too far out for an interview with Chris and for me that is part of his appeal. Conventional commentators are dime a dozen.

    It is sometimes said that everyone has a piece of the truth (sometimes it's a small piece). I never expect anyone to be 100% right and I'll persist with them if they contribute a worthwhile slice of  truth. Time will tell.

    One thing I do like about Clif is that he makes tangible predictions with time frames. This month he predicts a financial collapse and 30% of 'normies' waking up. I can't see this myself (normies waking up) so if he's right I'll be impressed. And don't forget about $600 silver by years end. If that comes to pass I'll forgive Cliff all his eccentricities and probably start a fan club!

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  • Thu, Oct 07, 2021 - 7:26am

    #29
    Floo2001

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    Floo2001 said:

    ster

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  • Fri, Oct 08, 2021 - 4:35pm

    Grover

    Grover

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    6

    How The "Woke" Wake Up

    David Allan wrote:

    One thing I do like about Clif is that he makes tangible predictions with time frames. This month he predicts a financial collapse and 30% of 'normies' waking up. I can't see this myself (normies waking up) so if he's right I'll be impressed. And don't forget about $600 silver by years end. If that comes to pass I'll forgive Cliff all his eccentricities and probably start a fan club!

    David,

    I don't remember clif saying that silver will get to $600 by year's end. He did say that at least 30% of the normies would wake up in October. I just spoke with an old college buddy this week. (For background, his wife is a school teacher. He and his family all got jabbed as soon as possible. Within a month of his jabbing, he accused those unwilling to get vaxxinated as "unwilling to do their share to defeat Covid.")

    This week, he questioned that he was sold (by the authorities) that one jab would be sufficient. Now, his wife is being forced to get a booster shot to keep her teaching job. Rhetorically, he asked me how long this will go on?

    This is how the "woke" wake up - by asking questions about the answers they were let to believe to be true.

    Grover

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  • Fri, Oct 08, 2021 - 5:31pm

    David Allan

    David Allan

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    $600 silver prediction

    Hi Grover , for the prediction start at 1hr 8 min on the USA watchdog video. Further discussion on silver in the last few minutes of the interview.

    Cheers, David

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  • Fri, Oct 08, 2021 - 7:22pm

    #32
    Dontknownothin

    Dontknownothin

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    7

    Clif High Fun Guy

    I think Clif High is fun to watch. I'm not sure how accurate his linguistic model is particularly considering how censored and selective he is, and how self censored most people are now, or how many euphemisms people use to describe the things they can't talk about. But if he does better than a broken clock without hard evidence then he's got something going for him.

    I find myself paying more attention to the oddballs now and trying to hear what they are actually saying. With Clif, his obsession with "the Woo" is his way of explaining this reservoir of universal truth that everyone is connected to. You can sense when you are hearing something truthful and when you're not. Whether by the regression equation of societal behavior you've modeled in your own mind or some mystical nonsense, if they arrive at the same conclusions by different means, then there are more signals than YOU are aware of saying the same things. So it's probably meaningful.

    I don't have the same means of coming to my conclusions as Clif does, so when our views overlap I take notice and wonder about the basis of their conclusions which validate (though doesn't necessarily confirm) my own beliefs.

    However he arrives at his answers and however his mind has been broken by experience and genetics, he has stumbled on some interesting ideas worth listening to, though maybe not "following".

     

    Side note: I've been waiting for the ferry for over an hour and they just cancelled the one I was waiting for. WA state DOT has mandates for ferry workers and apparently the engineers are unvaxxed and have WSFerries over a barrel. Can't work and DOT can't replace them. Boats keep cancelling and routes are all but shut down.  I'm mad but not really. This is how you win.

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  • Fri, Oct 08, 2021 - 7:57pm

    Grover

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    It All Depends On What "Mere" means

    David,

    I listened to the podcast from 1:08:00 until the end. Most of the silver timing discussion occurred before 1:09:00. clif said price increases would happen very rapidly and it wouldn't surprise him if it started this week. Greg asked him if it will happen this year and he responded that it will happen in mere months ... mere weeks, perhaps.

    clif chooses his words carefully. I'm not quite sure what he meant by "mere," so I looked it up.

    https://www.dictionary.com/browse/mere

    adjective, superlative mer·est.
    1) being nothing more nor better than:
    a mere pittance;
    He is still a mere child.

    2) Obsolete.

    pure and unmixed, as wine, a people, or a language.

    fully as much as what is specified; completely fulfilled or developed; absolute.

    Not too much clarity came from that exercise. Well, a few months is all we have left this year. A few weeks is all we have left in October. I'm not sure when I'll call BS on this prediction. I admit that clif is fallible. The business week portion of the 10/4/2021 week is over and there hasn't been anything emotionally earth-shattering as far as I can tell. Of course, I'm not being put in the position where I have to submit to a jab to keep my job. That would be personally emotionally shattering. The US debt ceiling (what a joke) got magically raised. Did that surprise anyone?

    We'll see what happens,

    Grover

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  • Sat, Oct 09, 2021 - 1:24am

    #34
    Stph

    Stph

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    Arthur Robey: Running for Cover->Cliff High (Phenomenal interview)

    rumble   dot    com/vn8g65-red-october-end-of-world-as-we-knew-it-clif-high.html

    A few months ago I thought Cliff High was mentally ill (I first caught a talk where he was explaining he was getting psychic eminations telling him to take the Vaxx; I next heard him talking about "the bug" as a living organism which was literally controlling the deep state players).

    In THIS interview he comes across as extraordinarily intelligent, sharp, extremely well read ... with a very hard to dismiss, extensive series of conjectures about what is coming up in the following weeks and months.

    Now, again, maybe six months ago I would have dismissed even THIS material as being too ungrounded, too hypothetical....but...      But, six months ago, I hadn't yet concluded that the vaccines were anything more than a mistake...and maybe in December 2020 I was actually seeking to get one, thinking they must be okay (a lot has changed in a year in my world view).

    Have I gotten wacky?  I don't think so: I think I have been forced to conclude that "No matter how cynical I get, I just can't keep up." -Lily Tomlin  (or as Dr. Corey put it, every time I think I am being too cynical, it turns out I  am  just being naive"  (what interview was that:?)

    Anyway, I highly recommend this full video.  I thank Arthur Robey for bringing it to our attention. And I am going to be thinking differently, and hopefully acting differently, because of it.  This is a freaking weird world, a really bad sf plot, which has been thrust upon us...and yet, strangely, it fits in with insights and "hallucinations" I've had, independently, over the last 20 odd years. I'm hoping Cliff High is at least somewhat correct that we are nearing a tipping point.   And, in particular, that we will be tipping toward the light, even if it seems especially dark for a while.

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  • Sat, Oct 09, 2021 - 3:56am

    #35

    Arthur Robey

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    Walking backwards.

    The Greeks held that we walk backwards into the future. Where we were is easy to see; where we're going, not so much.

    Anyone can postdict the past. Predicting the future is a lot harder. I'll cut Clif_High a lot of slack because he puts dates on his predictions.

    But consider; we have all survived a ruthless selection process, so do not underestimate your intuition. It is finely honed.

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  • Wed, Oct 13, 2021 - 3:43pm

    mememonkey

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Nov 01 2009

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    5

    Ferry to the other side

    Dontknownothin said:

    Side note: I've been waiting for the ferry for over an hour and they just cancelled the one I was waiting for. WA state DOT has mandates for ferry workers and apparently the engineers are unvaxxed and have WSFerries over a barrel. Can't work and DOT can't replace them. Boats keep cancelling and routes are all but shut down.  I'm mad but not really. This is how you win.

    I'm affected directly by the Wa State Ferries disruptions and wrote the following in comment section of a news story about the subject.

    An open 'note' to the “Unvaccinated”  Washington State Ferries employees who are making my commute on and off the Island where I live difficult due to the subsequent crew shortages.

    Thank You!   Thank you for having the courage of conscience to not submit to this unconscionable and illegal vaccine mandate by Governor Inslee.   I recognize the personal cost and disruption your refusal will have for you and your families. My inconvenience pales by comparison.

    Take heart in knowing that there are many many people out here who recognize that you are acting with integrity for fundamental principles. A quality completely missing in the Governors mansion, and across the land.

    My comment was approved by the moderation filter but shortly thereafter taken down.   The governor and the press are downplaying the impact of the mandate and now trying to spin the disruptions as longer term structural /seasonal labor hiring cycle issues.

    It's pretty clear at the National and Global level that the movers and shakers don't give a shit about these consequences, as every indication is they're trying to break things so as to "build back better"  Inslee, like Newsom fancies himself a power player on the National stage is slavishly devoted to the DNC agenda.

    Still I'm reminded of the adage that all politics is local.  If there is any hope in this story it will be from the ground up.   But They know that, hence the nascent push for Federalized policing we see in Garland's recent domestic terrorist i.e. "concerned parents" response.

    Forget Silver,  I'm bullish Barbwire and domestic predator Drones, that's the future I see looming.

    Fuck these people and the sheep that allowed them to get this far.

    mm

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  • Thu, Oct 14, 2021 - 2:31am

    David Allan

    David Allan

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    Totally agree

    Just read your post mememonkey.  A+,  powerful. It's a shame it's  at the end of the thread.

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  • Thu, Oct 14, 2021 - 7:03am

    #38
    Mergessee

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    Mergessee said:

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