Trump

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The Saker: The Syrian Powderkeg

The risk of nuclear war is now concerningly high
Monday, July 10, 2017, 9:20 AM

Following up on our recent warning about the situation in Syria, Chris sits down this week for a conversation with The Saker, who writes extensively on geo-political and military matters. The Saker (a nom-de-plume), is a former intelligence expert with professional and personal insights into Russia and the Middle East.

He shares our deep concern for the dangerously misdirected current state of US foreign and military policy, as well as the potentially lethal repercussions these threaten to have in the powderkeg that is Syria.

In this week's podcast, The Saker provides an excellent distillation of the complex forces in play in Syria -- as well as in the brewing friction between the US and Russia -- and why the risk of nuclear war has now grown higher than it has been in decades. » Read more

Insider

Pre-ALERT: Trump Risks War With Russia

The Syria powderkeg threatens to explode
Tuesday, June 27, 2017, 6:44 PM

Trump has now backed his administration into a corner.  If there’s another suspected poison gas attack in Syria, he’s promised to escalate the situation by beginning bombings.

It appears that what I feared might happen under a Clinton presidency (and I still think probably would have, anyways) is now happening under the Trump administration.

Let me be perfectly clear: bombing Syria risks a direct confrontation with Russia.  If that happens, all bets are off. Anything could happen next, up to and including a nuclear exchange.  » Read more

Podcast

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Steen Jakobsen: 60% Probability Of Recession In The Next 18 Months

The world economic engine is slowing to a standstill
Sunday, June 11, 2017, 6:46 PM

Steen Jakobsen back on, Chief Investment Officer of Saxo Bank, returns to the podcast this week to share with us the warning signs of slowing economic growth he's seeing in major markets all over the world.

In his view, the world economy is sputtering badly. So badly, that he's confident predicting a global recession by 2018 -- or sooner. » Read more

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The Relentless Push Towards War

This time with North Korea. Why?
Friday, April 28, 2017, 11:53 PM

As I’ve written extensively in the past, as was the case with Russia last fall, this push to war includes a series of carefully-crafted talking points being endlessly repeated over the print and airwaves. 

It’s an ever-present condition of living in our manufactured reality, where what we are told to care about is beamed at us around the clock  in a rather tediously but emotionally-manipulative way on the “news.”

Today's big ‘bogeyman’ is North Korea.  Have you wondered why? » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Bewitched, Bothered & Bewildered

The reaction to the recent Fed hike makes little sense
Friday, March 17, 2017, 2:37 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and James Howard Kunstler discuss:

  • Rate Hike!
    • The Fed just increased the interest rate by 0.25%
  • Scam-o-rama
    • The financial system is now a racketeering fraud
  • The Net Energy Predicament
    • The unseen cause of so many of the systemic breakdowns we're seeing
  • The Deep State In Turmoil
    • The Trump administration has set off an internal war

James Howard Kunstler returns to Off The Cuff this week for a wide ranging discussion. First on the docket is the recent Fed rate hike, and the baffling logic that markets are using to interpret is as another "bullish" signal for piling into stocks. 

No surprise, Jim thinks the markets have become one big roach motel for investment capital. 

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Dow 20,000!!

Everything's awesome....right?
Thursday, January 26, 2017, 6:42 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • Dow 20,000!!
    • Everything's awesome....right?
  • All Hail Our Banking Overlords!
    • Manipulation and collusion abound in today's financial system
  • The Elites Are Beginning To Worry
    • Buying bunkers and retreats in a hurry
  • Hypocrisy Of The Extortionist
    • Our leaders are happy to berate the system once they leave it

The Dow Jones index just crossed the 20,000 milestone for the first time in history. The financial media is applauding, newly-elected President Trump is boasting -- should we just stop worrying and concede that everything is going great now?

Chris and John Rubino certainly don't think so. They see the Dow's 20k milestone as stark evidence of the massive set of asset bubbles created by the world's central banking cartel. Print up trillions and trillions of thin-air money and it has to go somewhere.

They lament that our political, regulatory and corporate leaders remain ignorant (willfully or cluelessly) of this. And as long as that continues, the excesses and resultant unfairness (wealth gaps, cost of living unaffordability, etc) will grow unchecked -- making the pain of the inevitable collapse that much more painful to society.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Mad As Hell

Why the public is so pissed off
Friday, January 13, 2017, 11:50 PM

A critical movement is arising at this time in history.

Each of us can assume a role to play in its formation and development, and therefore its eventual success or failure. It's my personal belief that we are past the time where we can avoid major disruption, so each of us must be personally prepared as best we can for upheaval, while also working towards building a new and better narrative to live by.

Do you have the courage to participate? » Read more

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2016 Year In Review (Part 2)

And then things really got weird...
Thursday, December 22, 2016, 9:02 PM

If you've not yet read Part 1, click here to do so. The whole enchilada can be downloaded as a single PDF here or viewed in parts via the hot-linked contents as follows: » Read more

Insider

Off The Cuff: Repercussions Of Rising Rates

Rising interest rates are the big story right now
Thursday, December 1, 2016, 9:54 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • A Bottom For Miners?
    • Mish thinks this may be a good purchasing window
  • Hit To Housing
    • Rising interest rates are kryptonite to home prices
  • Vanishing Jobs
    • Trump can't replace the jobs lost to automation
  • The Year Of The Iconoclast
    • Anti-establishment platforms gather steam around the world

After years and years of declining/0% interest rates, the trend may be reversing. Market interest rates have risen faster over the past month than in decades.

Chris and Mish see this as having implications that will ripple through all asset classes. As Mish warns:

I’m watching interest rates just rise and rise. And the thing here is everyone’s betting on this massive inflationary scenario under Trump. I’m not sure I get it. Now, long term, we can all look at this and say, “Yeah, he’s going to take less money in in taxes, he’s going to waste more on infrastructure, he wants to increase military spending.” Of those, the only one I agree with is lowering taxes but the analysis is negative, negative, negative from Congressional CBO and all the people who figure this stuff out.

So we’ve got this surge in interest rates and money pouring into the dollar. The dollar’s going higher. I look at all of this and I think, “Hmm, a surge in interest rates. Ah, it’s likely to affect an ugly market.” The rising US dollar impacts exports in a negative fashion. The stock market is incredibly overvalued. And we know what generally happens when interest rates rise: I’m looking at a potential deflationary bust. Especially when we factor in Trump’s trade policies that might very well cause a global trade war.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Off The Cuff: The Sell-Off In Bonds

Is the world's biggest bubble now bursting?
Friday, November 11, 2016, 4:35 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • Deconstructing The Election Results
    • Why the upset happened
  • Insurmountable Odds?
    • Trump inherits a country in tremendous debt
  • The Sell-off In Bonds
    • Is the world's biggest bubble bursting?
  • The Age Of The Iconoclast
    • Brexit + Trump is just the start of this age of upsets

So much to talk about this week....  Chris and John deconstruct Trump's upset win as well as the tremendous challenges he faces, inheriting a grossly overleveraged economy that is grossly overdue for a market correction. They're also are extremely concerned by the sharp acceleration we've seen this week in the sell-off in the bond market. As a reminder, the size of the bond market dwarfs other financial assets (except derivatives). It is "for all the marbles", as they say.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more