syria

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Off The Cuff: The Era Of Easy Money Is Over

Debt-funded stimulus no longer yields an increase of GDP
Thursday, April 20, 2017, 8:44 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • Sovereign Sabre-Rattling
    • Suddenly, the world became a lot less safe
  • Market Misdirection
    • The central planners are doing their utmost to paint a positive picture
  • The Era Of Easy Money is Over
    • Debt-funded stimulus no longer results in an increase of GDP
  • How This All Will End
    • Exploring the likely pins that will pop this "mother of all bubbles"

Chris and John look at the disconnect between world events and stock prices and urge folks not to misled: risk is high, and getting higher. There is *no* rational reason for the current price levels in financial markets -- only gobs and gobs of liquidity being force-fed into the system by the world's central banks.

But the data is increasingly showing that the era of "easy money" we've lived under since the Great Recession has reached its inevitable terminus. Shoving more debt into the system is no longer boosting GDP. We are now simply blowing bigger asset bubbles that will monumentally destructive when they burst -- as they must.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Sudden Escalation: US Warships Fire Missiles Into Syria

The global threat level just spiked
Thursday, April 6, 2017, 11:40 PM

One of my worst fears has come to pass: the US has launched a missile strike against the Syrian government. » Read more

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Do We Really Want A War With Russia?

Because we're in danger of getting exactly that
Friday, October 7, 2016, 3:49 PM

I wish I could say things were improving between the US and Russia but they aren't. They're rapidly worsening. » Read more

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Murder And Mayhem In The Middle East

Why it matters to those living in the West
Monday, November 30, 2015, 9:03 PM

To understand what’s happening in Syria right now, you have to understand the tactics and motivations of the US and NATO -- the three parties sharing interwoven aims and goals in the Middle East/North African (MENA) region.

The main point here is that as resources become tight, the ruling powers can be expected to act in increasingly desperate ways. » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Race For The Exit

Everybody's dancing near the doorway
Friday, November 20, 2015, 4:18 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • The Fab 5
    • Without these 5 stocks, the S&P would be negative for the year
  • The "Positive" Impact Of The Paris Attacks
    • Are they kidding???
  • The Insatiable Military Industrial Complex
    • Crisis is being fabricated to keep it fed
  • Housing Is Looking Sick
    • More and more weakness is showing

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Making The World A More Dangerous Place

US foreign policy at work
Friday, November 6, 2015, 9:06 PM

Without any doubt, the Middle East has been a very long-simmering region of violent religious and tribal enmity.

In that regard, perhaps today is no different than 1,000 years ago. But given the importance of the remaining oil in the Middle East to the next 20 years of global economic health, the violence and chaos seen there recently is hugely important to the entire world. » Read more

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How Things May Well Get Ugly Quickly

What to do if full-blown war breaks out
Friday, November 6, 2015, 9:05 PM

Executive Summary

  • The US/Russia proxy war in Syria is fast escalating to dangerous levels
  • Much of the unrest today was imminently avoidable and sadly ignored
  • The US neo-con model is making more enemies both outside and inside America
  • The risks of full-blown war breaking out
  • What to do to prepare in advance

If you have not yet read Part 1: Making The World A More Dangerous Place available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Look, we’ve given these warnings before and unless you happen to live in one of the unfortunate countries that is being bombed or overtly or covertly supplied with the weapons of war by the west, they seem to not have amounted to much.

Such is the nature of reading tea leaves.  Instead of thinking of them as binary outcomes – things that either happened or didn’t happen - think of them as ‘probability fields.’  Like the chance of rolling a three with a 6-sided die vs. the chance of rolling a three with a 20-sided die.  The ‘probability field’ of the 6-sided die is a lot higher.

The probabilities and forces that push us closer to and further from war are ever changing and highly complex.  They shift with events and decisions, most of which we are unaware of because they are either not reported on or reported with heavy distortion of the truth.

So reading the tea leaves is the best we can do.

Our advice for any war breaking out anywhere in the Middle East, or especially between Russia (or China) and the West would be to have all of your preparations done a year before that moment.

Anything that disrupts global maritime trade, even for a very short while will rock the financial systems of the world.  Anything that calls into question the desire or ability of a country to repay its foreign debts (and wars are great excuses to stiff your creditors if they happen to be attacking you) will rock the financial world.

Heck, anything that... » Read more

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Michael Klare: Finite Resources And The Geography of Conflict

In the end, all wars are resource wars
Sunday, July 27, 2014, 12:49 PM

Ukraine. Iraq. Nigeria. Libya. Tunisia. Syria. All are hotspots of conflict in different regions of the world, yet the same underlying cause behind each can clearly be seen when looking through the lens of finite resources.

In this week's podcast, Chris talks with Hampshire college professor Michael Klare, author of The Race for What's Left: The Global Scramble for World's Last Resources and Resource Wars. » Read more

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Iraq Breaks Down, Oil Surges

The context underlying the growing crisis
Monday, June 16, 2014, 12:58 PM

The situation in Iraq is serious, and is probably going to get worse before it gets better. The potential for this recent action to morph into a regional conflict is very high. That that means that oil could go a lot higher, and if it does, we can expect the odds of a global economic recession and an attendant financial crisis to go up considerably from here. » Read more

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Rising Resource Costs Escalate Odds of Global Unrest

The critical 40% income-to-food threshold
Tuesday, May 13, 2014, 10:34 PM

As we observe the growing unrest in Ukraine, there is the usual rush to ascribe a cause. Was it meddling by the West? Russia? Was it corruption by prior leaders? Simmering resentments that stretch back centuries that finally erupted?

The answers apply to Ukraine as well as to many other countries. Which is why having an accurate framework, a clear 'lens' for seeing what is actually transpiring, will prove far more useful to you than 99% of what you will hear on the ni » Read more