Survivorship Bias

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Daniel Kaesler | Dreamstime.com

Why Our Central Planners Are Breeding Failure

Mistaking illusion for lasting success
Thursday, January 15, 2015, 11:50 AM

As counter-intuitive as it may sound, success rather reliably leads to failure and destabilization.

In the macro-economic arena, I think it highly likely that the monetary and fiscal policies of the past six years that are conventionally viewed as successful will lead to spectacular political and financial failures in 2015 and 2016. » Read more