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We Are All Lab Rats In The Largest-Ever Monetary Experiment In Human History

And how do things usually work out for the rat?
Friday, August 17, 2018, 7:10 PM

This global flood of freshly-printed 'thin air' money has no parallel in the historical records. All around the world, each of us is part of a grand experiment being conducted without the benefits of either prior experience or controls. Its outcome will be binary: either super-great or spectacularly awful.

If the former, then no worries. We'll just continue to borrow and spend in ever-greater amounts -- forever. Perpetual prosperity for everyone!

But if things hit a breaking point, then you had better be prepared for some truly bad times. » Read more

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David Stockman: The World Economy Is At An Epochal Pivot

A 'Great Reset' approaches
Friday, August 10, 2018, 7:00 PM

David Stockman warns that the global economy has reached an "epochal pivot", a moment when the false prosperity created from $trillions in printed money by the world's central banks lurches violently into reverse.

Stockman's main warning is that there's no bid underneath this market -- that when perception shifts from greed to fear, the bottom is much farther down than most investors realize. In his words, it's "rigged for implosion".
 
He predicts a Great Reset is imminent. One that, for those who see it coming and take prudent action today, will offer tremendous, perhaps once-in-a-lifetime, investment opportunity once the dust settles.
Podcast

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Helms & Gray: Real Estate Investing 101

How to build equity & income tangible with a tangible asset
Monday, July 9, 2018, 3:48 PM

Real estate offers a path to build equity and income outside of the Wall Street casino, in ways that take advantages of tax incentives not available to stock and bond holders. It can also offer purchasing power protection during periods of currency devaluation.

But, education and timing are very important in this space. How can the novice investor get involved while reducing their risk of making costly mistakes? Real estate markets can enter price bubble territory (as many are in now) -- how can you determine when it's safe or too risky to invest?

We've invited Robert Helms and Russ Gray, better known as The Real Estate Guys, onto the podcast this week to provide a "Real Estate Investing 101" overview for the Peak Prosperity audience. In it, they cover the different ways to invest, how to identify which approach is best for you given your personal goals and risk appetite, and how to get started educating yourself towards becoming an active investor. » Read more

Featured Discussion

DAY 2 Liveblog: The Future of Money & Wealth Conference

DAY 2 Liveblog: The Future of Money & Wealth Conference

Chris and Adam's notes from the conference they're participating in right now

Featured Discussion

Liveblog: The Future of Money & Wealth Conference

Liveblog: The Future of Money & Wealth Conference

Adam's notes from the conference he & Chris are participating at right now

Podcast

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Robert Helms & Russ Gray: Learning How To Invest In Real Estate

What goes on during the Summit At Sea
Monday, January 1, 2018, 11:09 AM

In this final podcast of 2018, Chris sits down with Robert Helms and Russell Gray, better known as The Real Estate Guys. They run one of (if not the most) popular podcasts on real estate investing. » Read more

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The Inescapable Reason Why the Financial System Will Fail

Credit cannot expand faster than fundamentals forever
Friday, December 29, 2017, 8:13 PM

Central banks are now trapped.

If they raise rates to provide low-risk, high-yield returns to institutional owners, they will stifle the “recovery” and the asset bubbles that are dependent on unlimited liquidity and super-low interest rates. But if they keep yields low, the only way institutional investors can earn the gains they need to survive is to pile into risk assets and hope the current bubbles will loft higher.

This conundrum has pushed the central banks into yet another policy extreme: to mask the rising systemic risk created by asset bubbles, central banks have taken to suppressing measures of volatility—measures than in previous eras would reflect the rising risks of extreme asset bubbles deflating.
Blog

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2017 Year In Review

Markets fiddle while Rome burns
Friday, December 22, 2017, 4:15 PM

Every year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed "Year in Review" synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year's is no exception. As with past years, he has graciously selected PeakProsperity.com as the site where it will be published in full. It's quite longer than our usual posts, but worth the time to read in full. A downloadable pdf of the full article is available here, for those who prefer to do their power-reading offline. -- cheers, Adam

Introduction

“He is funnier than you are.”

~David Einhorn, Greenlight Capital, on Dave Barry’s Year in Review

Insider

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Off The Cuff: Bubbles Everywhere!

Ideas for undervalued assets to rotate your capital into
Monday, December 18, 2017, 3:57 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • Nearly Every Market Is At A Record Bubble High
    • But 95% of the population is living under recessionary conditions
  • What Can Investors Rotate Into For Value/Safety?
    • There are a few asset classes that make sense
  • The High Cost Of Pursuing Continued Economic Growth
    • We're destroying essential components of the ecosphere
  • Money And Work Unchained
    • Charles lays out the key insights of his new book

Chris and Charles begin with a romp through the near-endless list of asset classes that have risen to nose-bleed overvaluations in today's markets. The gap between price and value is absolutely insane right now. Where can a cautious investor park their capital in conditions like this? Chris and Charles have several candidates to recommend.

They then dig into an important and fascinating discussion of Universal Basic Income. Make no mistake: we will be hearing an increasing chorus of politicians and the populace clamor for such a solution -- but it's a fool's errand; one that would be tremendously destructive to both our economy and our social fabric. This is the topic of Charles new book, Money And Work Unchained. (If you'd like to read the first few chapters of the book for free, Charles is making them available for free to Peak Prosperity readers here).

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
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The Great Oil Swindle

Is leading us to destruction
Friday, December 15, 2017, 7:41 PM

When it comes to the story we're being told about America's rosy oil prospects, we're being swindled. And the swindle is not just limited to the US.

At its core, the swindle is this: The shale industry's oil production forecasts are vastly overstated.

The false conclusions the world is drawing as a result of the deception and outright lies we're being told is putting our future prosperity in major jeopardy. Policy makers and ordinary citizens alike have been misled, and everyone -- everyone -- is unprepared for the inevitable and massive coming oil price shock. » Read more