Price

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The Price of Everything & The Value of Nothing

Is all we know in a bubble-driven market
Tuesday, June 23, 2015, 4:50 PM

My view is that the stock market is simply pegging itself to the idea that the central banks have backed themselves into a corner and that there’s no other option but to keep the liquidity spigots open. I cannot fault that view, as it has been right for the past 6 years.

However, it cannot be true forever. And we all know that a day of reckoning is out there somewhere.  » Read more

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The Oil Shock Has Arrived

Why today's price collapse will lead to a future price spike
Monday, December 8, 2014, 10:59 PM

The absolutely stunning drop in oil prices, which hit a new recent low, is really important to both track and understand.

There are two issues here, one near term and one long. » Read more

video

This chapter of the new Crash Course series has not yet been made available to the public.

Each week over the rest of 2014, in sequential order, a new chapter will be made publicly available (we've currently published up to Chapter 10)

If you don't want to wait, you can:

 

 

 

 

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Protecting Your Wealth from Deflation

And from a broken system run for the benefit of the banks
Monday, April 15, 2013, 5:18 PM

Executive Summary

  • The current gold slam has *nothing* to do with the fundamentals for precious metals, which are very favorable right now
  • How bad would deflation be?
  • Evidence that deflation is arriving
  • Why our current monetary system has become so compromised by the banks
  • How to best protect your wealth from both deflation and the banks

If you have not yet read Part I: This Gold Slam is a Massive Wealth Transfer from Our Pockets to the Banks, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

About Those Wealth Transfers

The biggest news of the recent past is the flow of gold from West to East. 

(Source)

With China importing 835 tonnes of gold in 2012 that we know about (and they may well be doing more under the table for official purposes) and also standing as the number one producer of gold, with ~360 tonnes of domestic production, none of which is exported, China is consuming at least 44% of total yearly world gold production.

Connect that with India importing between 200 and 300 tons per quarter (2011 imports were 967 tonnes, and 2012 was 864 tonnes), and this represents another 33% of total world mine output.  Add in Russia buying more official gold, and you suddenly find that a commanding proportion of the newly mined gold in the world is headed East, where it used to stay largely in the West.

To be clear, I view gold as money and therefore wealth itself.  Everything else that can be manufactured out of thin air is merely a claim on wealth.  In these terms, the West is slowly but steadily bleeding control of wealth to the East, something I thought our leaders were both aware of and focused on.

Knowing the lower prices will only exacerbate this West-to-East flow, I therefore thought that the bullion banks and central banks would not have dared push that dynamic any further.   But apparently no, obviously I was wrong, which pains me on several levels.

Add to this the various things going on in the world today, and I honestly thought we were in the most gold-favorable landscape of my life.

Consider:

  • Negative real interest rates (powerfully gold- and commodity-friendly throughout history)
  • North Korea threatening nuclear and conventional war
  • Open confiscation of wealth in Europe from bank accounts
  • Japan doubling their monetary base in a brazenly desperate bid to stoke inflation by attacking Japanese trust in their own currency
  • Extremely unfavorable bond yields up and down the yield ladder
  • Continued European stress and discord with the possibility of a Eurozone disintegration

Taken together, this level of system, sovereign, and institutional uncertainty is about as gold-friendly a situation one could concoct... » Read more

Blog

This Gold Slam is a Massive Wealth Transfer from Our Pockets to the Banks

It likely signals a big downdraft in the stock market, too
Monday, April 15, 2013, 3:55 PM

I am very disappointed by, but not surprised at, the latest transfer of wealth to the bankers from everyone else.  The most recent gold bear raid has vastly enriched the bullion bankers, once again, at the expense of everyone trying to protect their wealth from global central bank money printing.

The central plank of Bernanke's magic recovery plan has been to get everybody back borrowing, spending, and "investing" in stocks, bonds, and other financial assets.  But not equally so, as he has been instrumental in distorting the landscape towards risk assets and away from safe harbors. » Read more

Featured Discussion

Is Gold Fairly Priced?

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Is Gold Fairly Priced?

Gold is at a 2-year low despite multiple price catalysts and growing signs of a physical shortage. Silver, too.

Blog

The New Endangered Species: Liquidity & Reliable Income Streams

Prepare for a shift in what 'value' means
Tuesday, August 28, 2012, 11:05 AM

The causal relationship between scarcity, demand, and price is intuitive.  Whatever is scarce and in demand will rise in price to its cost basis; whatever is abundant and in low demand will decline in price.

The corollary is somewhat less intuitive, but still solidly sensible: the cure for high prices is high prices, meaning that as the price of a commodity or service reaches a threshold of affordability/pain, suppliers and consumers will seek out alternatives or modify their behaviors to lower consumption. » Read more

Daily Prep

Graphic © Amanda Northrop / Circle of Blue

The Price of Water 2012

18 percent rise since 2010, 7 percent over last year in 30 m
Sunday, July 22, 2012, 10:50 PM

Another indicator that the cost of basic necessities in life are getting more expensive.

Reflecting economic circumstances for water utilities in countless American cities and towns, single-family residential water prices in 30 major U.S. cities have gone up an average of 7.3 percent during the last year and 17.9 percent since 2010, when Circle of Blue began collecting pricing data. The median increase was 7.8 percent over the last year.

http://www.circleofblue.org/waternews/2012/world/the-price-of-water-2012-18-percent-rise-since-2010-7-percent-over-last-year-in-30-major-u-s-cities/