NATO

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Dmitry Orlov: The US Is Sleepwalking Towards A Nuclear Confrontation

Russia is ready for one. But are we?
Sunday, June 19, 2016, 11:52 AM

Following his cautionary analysis on the increasing tension between the US/NATO and Russia, Chris interview Dmitry Orlov this week about the potential likelihood for actual direct conflict to break out between the world powers.

Orlov was born and raised in Leningrad in the former Soviet Union and immigrated to the United States in the mid 70s, He has spent the past several decades traveling back and forth between the two countries, writing about the collapse of the Soviet Union and the many similarities he sees between that and the secular decline happening in the West. Orlov recently co-authored a stark warning with a number of other experts on Russia, concerned that the US is recklessly provoking a military confrontation it cannot win. » Read more

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Tensions Between US/NATO & Russia Are Flaring Dangerously

A cornered bear will ultimately use its claws
Friday, June 17, 2016, 5:16 PM

As if there weren’t enough crises to worry about in the world already, from shooting rampages to accelerating species loss, the US and NATO continue to ‘poke the bear’ and risk an outbreak of war with Russia.

I wish this were idle speculation. But if you haven’t been paying close attention, you'll probably be shocked at just how much direct military and diplomatic provocation has been going on between NATO/US and Russia over the past several years -- and in recent weeks, in particular. » Read more

Insider

How To Prepare For War

There is much you can (and should!) do
Friday, June 17, 2016, 5:16 PM

Executive Summary

  • How to Prepare for:
    • Trade War
    • Energy War
    • Financial War
    • Cyberwar
    • Grid-down attack
    • Conventional Shooting War
    • Nuclear War

If you have not yet read Part 1: Tensions Between US/NATO & Russia Are Flaring Dangerously available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

As a preamble, I need to note that I do not enjoy or derive any satisfaction from writing about or spending time on figuring out how to dodge the worst impacts of human behavior.  War sits right at the top of my ‘this is stupid’ list.  War should be the very last resort after all other diplomatic efforts have failed.  I am sorry that I have to spend time writing this report, and I am sorry that you have to spend time considering it.

As (sadly) expected, things have only escalated over the past several years, not deescalated.  The West has a serious bone to pick with Russia and nobody can rationally explain what or why that might be. I happen to think this is all about bruised neocon egos over Syria, while others think this is just military industrial business being waged in typical fashion.  But it really doesn’t matter what the explanation is; at this point we have to accept that things are at a dangerous point and do our best to respond appropriately.

The consequences of a war between Russia and the US/NATO could range from a very minor skirmish fought over some relatively meaningless items of trade, to an attack on financial markets, all the way to an all-out nuclear exchange.

The question becomes, what, if anything, can we do to prepare?

Lots as it turns out.

No matter where you live, even if you are close to Ukraine and face the prospect of being near a front line that might develop in the future, there is lots that you can and should do.  Luckily, most of the preparations are similar to those you should be undertaking anyways, war worries or not, so they won’t cost you anything extra in terms of time or money.

What you end up doing depends on which sort of war you consider most likely, where you happen to live, and your means.  So let’s consider the range of possibilities here... » Read more

Insider

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Murder And Mayhem In The Middle East

Why it matters to those living in the West
Monday, November 30, 2015, 9:03 PM

To understand what’s happening in Syria right now, you have to understand the tactics and motivations of the US and NATO -- the three parties sharing interwoven aims and goals in the Middle East/North African (MENA) region.

The main point here is that as resources become tight, the ruling powers can be expected to act in increasingly desperate ways. » Read more

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Making The World A More Dangerous Place

US foreign policy at work
Friday, November 6, 2015, 9:06 PM

Without any doubt, the Middle East has been a very long-simmering region of violent religious and tribal enmity.

In that regard, perhaps today is no different than 1,000 years ago. But given the importance of the remaining oil in the Middle East to the next 20 years of global economic health, the violence and chaos seen there recently is hugely important to the entire world. » Read more

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Special Report: Is It Time To Prepare For War?

Now available to all readers
Thursday, March 12, 2015, 3:36 PM

This report was initially released to PeakProsperity.com's paid subscribers earlier this week. Given the significance of the subject matter and the number of request from our enrolled members to share it more widely, we're making it available to all readers here. » Read more

Insider

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Is It Time To Prepare For War?

A serious question, given the escalating geopolitical risk
Tuesday, March 10, 2015, 12:48 AM

I am seriously entertaining preparing for war, and as I’ve written before, the nature of this next war could involve everything from trade battles, to cyber attacks, to financial system assaults,  a downing of the US electrical grid, to an actual shooting war  -- perhaps one that escalates to a nuclear exchange.

When things are this obviously crazy, anything is possible. » Read more

Insider

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The Rise Of The East

5 billion vs 1 billion
Wednesday, August 20, 2014, 12:05 PM

Executive Summary

  • The West is extremely vulnerable to financial and currency de-stabilisation through precious metals
  • Access to energy supplies will be the real weapon used in the battle over Ukraine (and future geo-political wars)
  • Why sanctions against Russia will not succeed
  • The East is mobilizing to become less dependent on the West

If you have not yet read Is Part 1: Ukraine: A Perspective from Europe available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Russia’s strategy towards Ukraine appears to be to ensure NATO is excluded from Ukrainian territory, the irony being that if NATO members hadn’t interfered with Ukrainian politics in the first place the current crisis would not have occurred. As it is, at a minimum she will seek to secure Donetsk and Luhansk and force the Kiev government to drop any ambitions to join the EU economic bloc.

The fact that NATO is divided between on the one side the US and UK plus all its ex-communist members and on the other the great European welfare states, requires there to be two distinct levels of Russian strategy. They must not be confused with each other, one macro and the other micro.

Macro-Geopolitics Linked To Gold

At the higher level there is the geopolitical clash with the US. This is not just a matter of Ukraine, but it is rapidly becoming the Shanghai Cooperation Council versus America. The US is also embroiled in territorial disputes between its allies and China over mineral rights in the South China Sea. The Middle-East now sells more oil to China than the US, and by leaving the US sphere of influence will fall increasingly under the SCO’s spell. Presumably, America has woken up to the threat to its hegemony from the powerful alliance that is the SCO, together with the loss of Pakistan and India into that sphere of influence. It goes further: even Turkey, a long-standing NATO member, plans to defect to the SCO, apparently a personal project of Recep Erdoğan, the recently re-elected Prime Minister.

American-initiated actions against Russia will probably be kept by Russia and the SCO in this big-picture context. It will be treated as an attack against an SCO member, speeding up integration and trade agreements designed to exclude the US dollar as a settlement medium. In this context the SCO members already appear to have agreed on the need to increase gold ownership as an undefined part-solution to replace the US dollar as the currency standard. In other words, the rush to acquire above-ground gold stocks will continue, and China through her refiners is processing and keeping increasing quantities of African-sourced gold as well as her own which would otherwise have gone to the West.

The Russian central bank has been adding to her monetary gold reserves and officially now has more than China (though China is known to have substantial holdings of bullion not currently declared as monetary reserves). All mine output is likely to be absorbed by the State. Russia has continued to build her gold reserves at a time when it could be argued by western analysts that she needs to hold on to all her foreign currency, given the prospect of escalating sanctions. The truth is that... » Read more

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Ukraine: A Perspective from Europe

The West's power & influence is on the wane
Wednesday, August 20, 2014, 11:54 AM

It is still a mystery to many historians as to how and why this World War I led to the slaughter of nine million people. But analysis of different parties to the original event, pursuing their own vested interests without a grasp of the bigger picture, certainly rings true of the Ukrainian situation today with regards to the West, embodied in a disparate committee called NATO. The similarity with the chaotic diplomacy that led to WW1 stops there: Russia under Vladimir Putin’s leadership appears to have a good grasp of its objective. » Read more

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Warning: Ukraine Is At A Flashpoint

The stability between Russia & the West is failing
Sunday, May 4, 2014, 1:16 AM

Regrettably I am very close to issuing an official Alert over the situation in Ukraine.  The situation has continued to both escalate and deteriorate and more than 50 people died on Friday, May 2 in violence in Odessa and other eastern cities in Ukraine.  Relations between Russia and the US are finding new lows while China and Russia grow closer. 

For those living in Europe who are exposed to the possible fallout that would result from the loss of supplies of Russian energy, the time to begin your preparations is right now. » Read more