The Fed

Insider

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Off the Cuff: The Fed Is Very, Very Scared

Confidence in its omnipotence is waning
Friday, July 18, 2014, 2:16 PM
  • The Fed's Nightmare
    • Bedlam will ensure if/when the market loses confidence
  • Age of Anomalies
    • Fed-induced market distortions are shaking that confidence
  • Pump & Pray
    • Does the Fed have any better game plan?
  • Central Planning Fault Lines
    • Rifts among allies are increasing the risks
Podcast

Keith Fitz-Gerald: The Perils of Underestimating Complexity & Mispricing Risk

Magical thinking is dangerous
Saturday, August 25, 2012, 11:16 AM

"If you’re rich you get a bailout. If you’re poor you get a handout. And if you’re middle class you get left out. " That's not a sustainable way to run the system, exclaims investment strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald.

A cancer at the core of our current economy is the magical thinking, "no pain, all gain" philosophy, pursued by those running it. They are doing all they can to remove the consequences of failure from the system -- not realizing that failure plays an essential 'waste-clearing' function of a healthy free market.

Without the discipline of Darwinism, the individual actors in the system make all sorts of malinvestments that would never make sense in an efficient marketplace. But since the losses from these inane pursuits are socialized, there's no incentive to stop making them. At least, up until the point where the class who's back is burdened with paying for the socialized messes finally breaks. » Read more