David Collum

Podcast

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David Collum: The Vicious Cycle Approaches

We'll regress to (and through) the mean
Sunday, December 24, 2017, 2:03 PM

Whether or not you've had time yet to plow your way through David Collum's excellent 2017 Year in Review, our annual podcast with Dave always brings additional color to light -- and this year's is no exception. » Read more

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David Collum: We've Got A Recession Coming

A bad one, at that
Monday, December 26, 2016, 1:53 PM

Whether or not you've had time yet to plow your way through David Collum's excellent 2016 Year in Review, our annual podcast with Dave always brings additional color to light -- and this year's is no exception. » Read more

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David Collum: The Next Recession Will Be A Barn-Burner

With very few places for capital to hide
Saturday, December 26, 2015, 9:05 PM

For those who enjoyed his encyclopedic 2015: Year In Review, this week we spend an hour with David Collum to ask: After processing through all of that information, what do you think the future is most likely to bring?

Perhaps it comes as little surprise that he sees the global economy headed back down into recession, one that will be deeper and more damaging than the 2008 crisis. » Read more

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David Collum: We're Now Stuck In A Global Game Of Tetris

And 2015 looks like the year it will all top out
Monday, December 22, 2014, 1:21 AM

Whether or not you've had time yet to plow your way through David Collum's excellent 2014 Year in Review, our annual podcast with Dave always brings additional color to light -- and this year's is no exception. » Read more

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2014 Year in Review: Part 2

Will 2015 be the year it all comes tumbling down?
Friday, December 19, 2014, 12:27 PM

This year has been all about risk—existential risk. Some of it seemed to dissipate and some lingers.  Market valuations remain risky—regression to the mean could easily provide a 50% haircut and more if we observe regression through the mean. This has not come to pass, but the risk is very real.

Those who seek risk in markets will eventually find it. » Read more

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2014 Year in Review

The year we piled up risks like a global game of Tetris
Friday, December 19, 2014, 12:27 PM

I have not seen a year in which so many risks—some truly existential—piled up so quickly. Each risk has its own, often unknown, probability of morphing into a destructive force. Groping for a metaphor—I love metaphors and similes—I feel like we’re in the final throes of a geopolitical Game of Tetris as financial and political authorities race to place the pieces correctly. But the acceleration is palpable. The proximate trigger for pain and ultimately a collapse can be small, as anyone who’s ever stepped barefoot on a Lego knows. » Read more

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David Collum

David Collum

David Collum, is the Betty R. Miller Professor of Chemistry at Cornell University and is a regular and valued presence on the internet commenting on the financial system and the predicaments of our time.  David has contributed many Year in Review articles and podcasts to the Peak Prosperity community. 

2013 Year in Review

 

Podcast

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David Collum: Broken Markets, State Capitalism & Eroding Liberty

Understanding the dominant trends of 2013
Sunday, December 22, 2013, 1:47 PM

2013 was a frustrating year for those who believe in cause and effect. Markets have been levitated far above what fundamentals would justify. Sovereign debt has increased tremendously, but seemingly without repercussion. Central planners have become more brazen in their belief that intervention is the best way to control both an economy and its citizens to surprising little outcry from the populace: » Read more

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2013 Year in Review

Austerity is not a policy
Friday, December 20, 2013, 1:36 PM

Every year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed "Year in Review" synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year's is no exception. Moreover, he has graciously selected PeakProsperity.com as the site where it will be published in full. It's quite longer than our usual posts, but worth the time to read in full. » Read more

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2013 Year in Review (Part 2)

Broken markets, too much debt, and less & less liberty
Friday, December 20, 2013, 1:26 PM

Part of David Collum's 2013 Year In Review » Read more