Off The Cuff: The Brain-Dead Fed

Its power is exceeded only by its cluelessness
Thursday, January 18, 2018, 12:51 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Brexit: An Update
    • Axel's observations from London
  • The Reason Behind The Weakening US Dollar
    • The coming ECB tapering is being factored in
  • Tax Cross-Currents
    • Reforms will disrupt more than folks realize
  • The Brain-Dead Fed
    • Can't admit it does it what it does

In this wide-ranging discussion -- covering taxes to Brexit to gold to the markets -- Axel shares with Chris his conclusions on the inner workings of the Federal Reserve from his interactions with many of the folks involved in running it. Despite being perhaps the single most influential entity in the global economy, like any institution, it is run by fallible people who, in this case, can't recognize and/or admit that their actions are in full violation with their promised policy.

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2016 Year In Review

A Clockwork Orange
Thursday, December 22, 2016, 9:03 PM

Every year, friend-of-the-site David Collum writes a detailed "Year in Review" synopsis full of keen perspective and plenty of wit. This year's is no exception. As with past years, he has graciously selected as the site where it will be published in full. It's quite longer than our usual posts, but worth the time to read in full. » Read more


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Italy Votes No(!)

Et tu, Brute?
Sunday, December 4, 2016, 10:52 PM

The Italian vote delivered the most unsurprising surprise today – another rejection of the elites by the people.

Oh the humanity!

Time for the elites to get out of their echo chambers and find out what life is like for the people laboring under their poorly thought through and inhumane policies. 

Remember, we humans like it better when things are fair and just.  Heck, it goes further than that; primates like it better when things are fair and just. » Read more


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The Great Market Tide Has Now Shifted To Risk-Off Assets

A global sea-change in risk appetite & sentiment
Friday, July 8, 2016, 3:03 PM

In the conventional investment perspective, risk-on assets (i.e. investments with higher risks and higher potential returns) such as stocks are on a see-saw with risk-off assets (investments with lower returns and lower risk, such as Treasury bonds). When risk appetites are high, institutional managers and speculators move money into stocks and high-yield junk bonds, and move money out of safe-haven assets such as gold and U.S. Treasuries.

But recently, markets are no longer following this convention. Safe haven assets such as precious metals and Treasuries are soaring at the same time that stock markets bounced strongly off the post-Brexit lows.

Risk-on assets (stocks) rising at the same time as safe-haven assets is akin to dogs marrying cats and living happily ever after. 

What the heck is going on? » Read more


Off The Cuff: Something Crazy Is Getting Ready To Happen

The next major crisis is set to blow
Thursday, July 7, 2016, 4:45 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • The FBI Findings Regarding Clinton's Emails
    • It really does seem there's a different set of rules for the privileged
  • Something Crazy Is Getting Ready To Happen
    • Why the next major crisis is set to blow
  • Watch The Bank Stocks
    • When they've dropped this far, you know there's trouble
  • The New Bull Market For Gold & Silver
    • Many mining stock are up 300-500%

Wow, so much ground to cover this week. And Chris and John do a great job of covering as much as they can. What does the FBI's hands-off approach to Clinton say about the fairness of rule of law in today's society? What systemic fault lines has Brexit opened for the EU, as well as the rest of the world? Why is the banking system suddenly looking so sick? What does the recent surge in precious metals portend?

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more


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Off The Cuff: The Prosperity Pie Is Shrinking

The root macro challenge of our time
Friday, July 1, 2016, 11:16 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • The Battle Behind Brexit
    • An underlying story of the masses vs the elites
  • The Prosperity Pie Is Shrinking
    • The macro issue of our time
  • Election Rigging
    • A near-certainty at this point
  • Gold & Silver Streak
    • Finally! Some upward momentum

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more



Axel Merk: Making Sense Of The Impact Of Brexit

A special edition podcast
Monday, June 27, 2016, 8:22 PM

A very sleep-deprived Axel Merk joins us for this special edition podcast. Axel and his team have pulled late nights over the past few days following the Brexit vote results in real-time and the ensuing aftermath.

Axel, CEO and founder of the Merk Funds, is originally from Europe and one of the best experts we know on the currency markets, as well as monetary policy. In this podcast, he explains why he sees the Brexit as a sea-change in sentiment that will have far-reaching implications for Britain, Europe, and the rest of the world -- though it may take years before they are fully recognized and expressed. He expects the post-Brexit future to more market volatility, more populism as political stability weakens, more (ineffectual) fiscal spending to goose economic growth, and likely more armed conflict around the world. » Read more



Brexit Shocker!

Making sense of what just happened
Friday, June 24, 2016, 10:30 AM

The political and financial landscapes have been altered by last night upset "Leave" vote in Britain and now we have to try and make sense of the new terrain.

This is huge. Not that a Brexit 'Leave' vote has anything at all to with, say, Caterpillar’s earnings over the next few quarters. It has nothing at all to do with anything fundamental, but these “”markets”” have been anything but fundamental for years.

They've become gigantic, globally interconnected, leveraged speculating casinos. Nothing but a massive set of bubbles in search of a pin.

It looks like they may have just found one... » Read more



Off The Cuff: Jackass Leadership

We'd be so much better off with so much less
Monday, May 23, 2016, 4:52 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • Implications Of The Recent Fed Minutes
    • Per usual, good for stocks/bad for gold
  • The Dying Middle Class
    • Sucked dry by central planning policy
  • The Dirty Trick Of Politics
    • Both parties are worth throwing out
  • Jackass Leadership
    • In the Fed, on the Hill, in the White House...