Bank of Japan



Steen Jakobsen: 60% Probability Of Recession In The Next 18 Months

The world economic engine is slowing to a standstill
Sunday, June 11, 2017, 6:46 PM

Steen Jakobsen back on, Chief Investment Officer of Saxo Bank, returns to the podcast this week to share with us the warning signs of slowing economic growth he's seeing in major markets all over the world.

In his view, the world economy is sputtering badly. So badly, that he's confident predicting a global recession by 2018 -- or sooner. » Read more


Off The Cuff: Making Sense Of The FOMC Decision

The likely impacts of this week's Fed and BOJ (in)actions
Wednesday, September 21, 2016, 11:33 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Fed In A Box
    • At this point, stalling is Yellen's only option
  • Boneheaded BOJ
    • Now trying to undue the damage of its recent NIRP policies
  • Blind To Bubbles
    • Central banks are unwilling to admit they're the cause of the problem, not the solution
  • Bad Policies
    • Capitalism is getting destroyed (and a bad rap) by central banks run amok

In the wake of the closely-watched announcements by the BOJ and the Federal Reserve, Chris and Axel sit down in this meaty discussion to pick through the particulars of what this week's announcement mean. In a world where everything hangs on the decisions of an elite few central banks, this is one of the more important podcasts we've released in a while. » Read more



Michael Pento: The Coming Bond Bubble Collapse

All asset classes will collapse in tandem when this bursts
Sunday, September 18, 2016, 1:42 PM

In this week's podcast, Michael Pento, fund manager and author of The Coming Bond Bubble Collapse, explains how the United States is fast approaching the end stage of the biggest asset bubble in history. He describes how the bursting of this bubble will cause a massive interest rate shock that will send the US consumer economy and the US government—pumped up by massive Treasury debt—into bankruptcy, an event that will send shockwaves throughout the global economy: » Read more



The Marginal Buyer Holds The Pin That Pops Every Asset Bubble

So it's important to watch him very closely
Friday, August 19, 2016, 2:01 AM

Those of you who took an Economics class in college may remember the saying that prices are set "at the margin". That's a fancy way to say that prices are set by the person (or people) willing to pay the most.

This person willing to pay top dollar is called the "marginal buyer". Most of us don't really think about him, but he (or she) is very, very important.

Why? Because the marginal buyer not only determines price levels, but also their stability and degree of volatility. The behavior of the marginal buyer, as well as the degree of competition for his/her "top dog" spot, sets the prices of nearly every asset class held by today's investors. » Read more


Drop of Light/Shutterstock

Strange Happenings in Japan

Reckless leadership with a hidden agenda
Monday, July 11, 2016, 8:22 PM

The whole world now waits to see which central bank is up next to do the heavy lifting for the next round of stock and bond propping.

And so Japan is now front and center on that stage again. Especially since Bernanke just traveled there to conclude a "secret" meeting with Prime Minister Abe and Bank of Japan head Kuroda. » Read more


Steen Jakobsen: The End Of The Debt Cycle

As transformational as the fall of the Berlin Wall
Sunday, February 21, 2016, 7:26 PM

As we've been watching closely, something is wrong with the big banks. Their shares have lost 25-33% of their market value since the beginning of the year. What's going on?

The turmoil seems greatest in Europe, where bank shares have fallen the hardest, and negative interest rates have appeared with increasingly frequency across member countries.

To make sense of it all, we've invited Steen Jakobsen back on, Chief Investment Officer of Saxo Bank, who can provide an eyes-on-the-ground perspective on the European banking system from his location in Copenhagen. » Read more


Ivan Cholakov/Shutterstock

Deflation Is Winning – Beware!

Expect the ride to get even rougher
Friday, July 24, 2015, 11:03 AM

Deflation is back on the front burner and it's going to destroy all of the careful central planning and related market manipulation of the past 6 years.

Clear signs from the periphery indicate that a destructive deflationary pulse has been unleashed. Tanking commodity prices are confirming that idea.  » Read more


Oleksii Sergieiev, Dreamstime

For Heaven's Sake: Hedge!

If you're not positioned defensively by now, you're nuts
Thursday, April 30, 2015, 10:58 PM

Last fall, I wrote an article titled Defying Gravity that warned of the absurd price levels that stocks and bonds had risen to. Less than a month later, the stock market abruptly dropped by 7%. Those who didn't seek safety in advance were left licking their wounds, panicked not knowing if the painful down-draft was over.

So here we are roughly six months later, and the same warning bells are ringing -- just louder this time. » Read more


How Many More “Saves” Are Left in the Central Bank Bazookas?

Very few, it seems
Wednesday, February 18, 2015, 10:45 PM

The remarkable success of grandiose pronouncements, money-printing programs and serial expansions of credit raises a key question: how many more “saves” can the central bank bazookas fire that will have the desired effects of maintaining perceptions of central bank omnipotence and pushing global markets ever higher? » Read more


A Quick Sanity Check

A cautionary reminder of where we are in this story
Monday, January 19, 2015, 1:06 AM

Sometimes it pays to step way back and look at things from a high level.

In response to the 2008 crisis, the world's major central banks pumped an unprecedented amount of monetary stimulus into the system -- all in the name of kick starting enough economic growth to pull the planet out of its fundamental sinkhole of Too Much Debt.

More than six years and over $4 trillion later, what exactly can we say it did for us?

Not enough, as the following short video summarizes. » Read more