Axel Merk

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Off The Cuff: Expect More Interest Rate Hikes

Hikes that the market has not yet priced in
Thursday, September 13, 2018, 12:20 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Contagion Risk
    • Where will the Emerging Markets melt-down end?
  • Inflation On The Rise
    • Now cresting above 2%
  • More Fed Rate Hikes Coming
    • Not yet priced into the market
  • Gold/Silver Ratio
    • What is today's extreme level telling us?

Recorded last week, Axel -- who has close access to Federal Reserve insiders -- explains why he predicts the Fed will hike rates higher than the market currently expects.

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barkingdogma.com

Off The Cuff: The Trouble With Trade Wars

The uncertainty whipsaws markets, media & investors alike
Thursday, June 28, 2018, 6:37 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • The Trouble With Trade Wars
    • The uncertainty is whipsawing the markets
  • Actions Have Repercussions
    • China's investment in the US plummets
  • The Rules Of Brinksmanship
    • Chris & Axel give book recommendations
  • Oil & Gold
    • Where to from here?

It's hard to keep one's head in today's world. Developments are changing at a pace the world just can't handle. As a result, the uncertainty and confusion makes it very difficult to 'surf' events as they unfold.

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afflictor.com

Off The Cuff: The Fed Is Driving Blind

Insider insights from a recent gathering of Fed officials
Monday, May 21, 2018, 3:11 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • The Fed Is Driving Blind
    • QE has rendered all signals useless
  • The Risk Of Recession Is 100%
    • The only question that matters is When?
  • Axel's Report From A Recent Gathering Of Fed Officials
    • From inside the Hoover Institution
  • Forecasting The Price Of Gold & Oil
    • Bullish reasons to hold both right now

Having recently returned from a private gathering of Federal Reserve officials, Axel shares his observations with us. In a nutshell, he sees the Fed as now following the market. His prediction is that they will keep tightening right up to the point where the market buckles under the higher rates, and at that point, it will be too late to prevent a major market correction, and likely, a plummet into economic recession.

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Off The Cuff: The Fed May Be Less Worried Of A Stock Plunge Than We Think

As long as credit flows, it's OK with lower stock prices
Tuesday, March 27, 2018, 2:53 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Dissecting Last Week's FOMC Meeting
    • Powell definitely seems different from his predecessors
  • Why The Fed May Not Worry About Stock Prices
    • All it really cares about are functioning credit markets
  • How Sick Is Europe?
    • Very, but it can linger a long time
  • The Prospects For Gold
    • Well-poised to outperform other assets this year

In the wake of last week's FMOC meeting, the first one for new Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, our site's central banking expert Axel returns to the podcast to share his assessment of the banking world's newest sheriff. Axel believes, as a lawyer (unlike his academic predecessors), Powell is fairly unconcerned with economic theory or asset prices. What he cares most about is regulation and the continued functioning of markets. So as long as credit -- the lifeblood of the global economy -- is flowing, he may not care much where prices end up...

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LAST CALL: Our 'Volatility Attacks!' Webinar Is Tonight @ 8pm EST

Is a bigger drop ahead? If so, how big?
Tuesday, February 13, 2018, 10:35 AM

As a reminder: Our 'Volatility Attacks!' webinar takes place TONIGHT at 8pm EST. » Read more

Featured Discussion

Webinar This Tues, Feb 13th @ 8pm EST

Webinar This Tues, Feb 13th @ 8pm EST

Chris and Axel Merk answer your Q&A about the market's 8% plunge last week

Insider

Off The Cuff: The Brain-Dead Fed

Its power is exceeded only by its cluelessness
Thursday, January 18, 2018, 12:51 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Brexit: An Update
    • Axel's observations from London
  • The Reason Behind The Weakening US Dollar
    • The coming ECB tapering is being factored in
  • Tax Cross-Currents
    • Reforms will disrupt more than folks realize
  • The Brain-Dead Fed
    • Can't admit it does it what it does

In this wide-ranging discussion -- covering taxes to Brexit to gold to the markets -- Axel shares with Chris his conclusions on the inner workings of the Federal Reserve from his interactions with many of the folks involved in running it. Despite being perhaps the single most influential entity in the global economy, like any institution, it is run by fallible people who, in this case, can't recognize and/or admit that their actions are in full violation with their promised policy.

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momtastic.com

Off The Cuff: Are We About To See Taper Tantrum 2.0?

The Fed wants to tighten. Will markets stand for it?
Thursday, December 14, 2017, 1:16 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Taper Tantrum 2.0?
    • The Fed wants to tighten. But can it?
  • Bad Balance Sheets
    • Can central banks simply hold their bad assets forever?
  • The Flattening Yield Curve
    • A classic signal of approaching recession
  • Bitcoin
    • Trying to make sense of the recent run-up

Recorded before today's FMOC announcement, Chris and Axel discuss the next moves of the central banks, who's intervention and collusion have driven markets more than any other factor over the past decade. Most people don't realize that monthly liquidity injections are currentlyat their highest ever since QE began.

Now that the Fed is talking seriously about tightening -- can it? Or will the markets revert to throwing a tantrum as the global liquidity spigots begin to reduce their flow?

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Off The Cuff: Watch The Fed Chair Transition Closely

Yellen's succession may just pop today's market bubble
Tuesday, October 17, 2017, 7:40 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Alex Merk discuss:

  • The Cost Of Disaster
    • Natural disasters are NOT GDP "positive"
  • Watch The Fed Chair Transition
    • It could be what pops this bubble
  • Fracked Up
    • Why the shale patch will continue to disappoint
  • Parallels with the 1930s
    • Military spending is becoming a bigger driver of the economy

Axel Merk returns this week to share why he believes the upcoming Federal Reserve Chair transition just might be the pin that pops today's asset price bubble:

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Off The Cuff: The End Of Buying The Dip?

Things are shifting in the markets, ending many trends
Thursday, September 7, 2017, 7:47 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Bye, Bye Fisher
    • The Fed's Vice Chair steps down
  • Bye, Bye Yellen?
    • Axel thinks Fisher's departure signals Janet Yellen will be out, too
  • No Decision-makers Left
    • Everyone is on the same train when it comes to the "markets"
  • The Future Of The Dollar, Euro, Yuan & Gold
    • Old correlations no longer hold

Chris and Axel cover lots of ground in this week's Off The Cuff with lots of recent seismic moves -- China's yuan-for-oil-for-gold announcement, the latest ECB statement, the resignation of Stanley Fisher (which may presage Yellen's exit when her term is up in early 2018. Things are shifting quickly in the markets, geo-politically, in the world economy -- even in the weather. Axel warns that the long-standing relationships we've all become accustomed to are fading, and that we need to be prepared for different outcomes from what we're used to.

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