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Peak Prosperity

Are You Coming To Our Annual Seminar This Year?

We hope so. 2016 is fast proving rockier times are ahead.
Thursday, February 25, 2016, 3:27 AM
,

Something broke in the world last August:

After more than 6 years of dependable steep upward appreciation in the stock market, it all stopped. August 2015 saw a sharp drop in stock values, which quickly rebounded -- but to lower highs. Things more or less flat-lined until the start of 2016, when the markets started selling off in earnest.

What ended the party? We can speculate on the specific trigger (anemic global economic growth, the collapse in the price of oil, China's hard landing, central banks running out of options to intervene -- the list is long), but one conclusion is becoming clearer with each passing day: The trend has reversed. The stability and relative prosperity (false or not) of the past 6+ years is now over. And we are now entering more turbulent times.

This observation is true for much more than the stock market. Last year was the hottest year on record as well as the highest in atmospheric CO2. Our oceans are acidifying at a terrifying rate, threatening all life within from tiny (but essential!) phytoplankton to large mammals. Our privacy and civil liberties are being stripped away at a faster pace than ever before. The US shale oil "miracle" has swiftly morphed into a gigantic capital destruction morass, and the coming losses could well plunge the country back into deep recession. Cash may well be outlawed soon.

The point being made here is: Change is coming.

As we say in the Crash Course, the next 20 years are going to look completely different from the past 20. While not all of the approaching changes will be bad, a lot of them are not going to be pleasant for the unprepared.

How prepared are you?

All of this makes this year's annual Peak Prosperity seminar at Rowe the most important one we've hosted in years. It's looking increasingly certain that time is now beginning to run short to get sufficient preparation in place before the next crisis arrives -- be it economic, energetic or environmental.

At the seminar, you'll learn our latest thinking on the biggest risks we face in the near term, and develop a personal plan for prioritizing your actions over the coming months in developing sufficient resilience to face them without fear.

Just as important, you'll spend meaningful time in the presence of other like-minded people, who will inspire, inform and support your efforts. We always say the relationships you leave with are easily the most valuable assets our seminar imparts.

This year in particular, we're seeing spots fill up at the fastest rate we've ever seen. And many of those signing up are active and long-time members of the site. So, if you're thinking about attending this year 1) it's shaping up to be an excellent crew of PP community members, and 2) you should consider registering soon. We sold out of spaces last year and if the current pace continues, we'll sell out much sooner this year.

We hope to see you there from April 14-17th. This is always our favorite weekend of the year, and this year is looking to be one for the record books...

cheers,

Adam, Chris & Becca

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21 Comments

reflector's picture
reflector
Status: Gold Member (Offline)
Joined: Aug 20 2011
Posts: 269
online reg

oh, hey!

it looks like the online registration for rowe is working now.

count me in, and see you in april.

thanks for putting this together, guys!

LesPhelps's picture
LesPhelps
Status: Platinum Member (Offline)
Joined: Apr 30 2009
Posts: 788
Timing

Mid April might not be an ideal time for snow birders.

At least for now, we are traveling during that time.

ktruddymd's picture
ktruddymd
Status: Member (Offline)
Joined: Nov 12 2010
Posts: 1
Agenda Topic

I'm working hard to arrange my schedule to attend this meeting.

Meanwhile, I'd like to give a big HEADS UP! to an article published in the 19 February issue of Science:  "Complexity theory and financial regulation" - an IMMEDIATE MUST READ.

Briefly, the authors who hail from prestigious academic and financial institutions worldwide, including the august Santa Fe Institute explain how "sudden and largely unforeseen collapses (e.g. 'phase transitions')" occur as a result of "endogenous underlying processes."  But before the crisis occurs - and for those who know what to look for - there is "often a gradual and unnoticed loss of resilience" in the financial system.  Small disruptions, seemingly innocuous, precipitate a cascade of unstoppable events that end in crisis and collapse.

The authors coin a term I've not see before:  "Too central to fail".  They point out that the "global financial network may collapse even when individual banks appear safe."

I encourage everyone to read on ... it's a masterpiece; and it appears in Science this week!

Wouldn't it be clever to have Chris interview each of the authors on a podcast?  Wouldn't it be marvelous for Peak Prosperity to invite one of the authors to the April meeting?  And wouldn't it be great to have Peak Prosperity rise to the challenge presented in "Complexity theory and financial regulation" to create an "online, financial economic dashboard that integrates data, methods, and indicators ... [in order to] monitor and stress-test the global socioeconomic and financial system in something close to real time."

See you there.  Doc

Jim H's picture
Jim H
Status: Diamond Member (Offline)
Joined: Jun 8 2009
Posts: 2385
interesting Doc!

I am in.. just registered....  It was cool to have Kunstler at Rowe two years ago.. I for one like the idea of adding interesting guest commentators to the agenda.  I will read the Science article.. look forward to meeting you Doc.      

Here is the link;  

http://science.sciencemag.org/content/351/6275/818.full

KugsCheese's picture
KugsCheese
Status: Diamond Member (Offline)
Joined: Jan 2 2010
Posts: 1447
Jim H wrote: I am in.. just
Jim H wrote:

I am in.. just registered....  It was cool to have Kunstler at Rowe two years ago.. I for one like the idea of adding interesting guest commentators to the agenda.  I will read the Science article.. look forward to meeting you Doc.      

Here is the link;  

http://science.sciencemag.org/content/351/6275/818.full

When pervasive lying is encouraged, don't even expect a non-linear model to be much good.   Politicians need crises, just ask Rahm Emanuel.  Why is no one modeling the food supply?  GMO is reducing variety...

Jim H's picture
Jim H
Status: Diamond Member (Offline)
Joined: Jun 8 2009
Posts: 2385
Hello Kugs

Kugs said,

When pervasive lying is encouraged, don't even expect a non-linear model to be much good.   Politicians need crises, just ask Rahm Emanuel.  Why is no one modeling the food supply?  GMO is reducing variety...

Broadly stated, I agree Kugs.  I have several times here (often in the context of predicting Gold price as it relates to other metrics like commodity prices, etc.) expressed my disdain for economic modeling in the era of centrally planned prices.  I am still open to the idea that certain less gamed data sets might be able to act as early warnings of trouble ahead.   

 

SagerXX's picture
SagerXX
Status: Diamond Member (Offline)
Joined: Feb 11 2009
Posts: 2237
If you can, GO to Rowe...

Sadly, I will not be able to attend this year's conference.  

However, having attended a gathering along these lines (lordy, back in...2009?  2010?) I should say a few things.

If you are on the fence about the time and expense of attending this gathering, just GO.  Go, go, go.  The money's a pittance in the scheme of things, and it will be time very well spent.

Getting the chance to meet Dr. Chris is person is a tonic for anybody that's worried, agitated or just plain PISSED about where the world's at.  Emulating his (thoughtful, calm, enthusiastic) example helps us all get straight on what we should do, and how to get busy doing it.  Yes, one can take steps to avoid and/or mitigate catastrophe and do it with a sense of humor.  Matter of fact, doing such will help you keep your sense of humor (and a healthy perspective), and frankly that sense of humor will help you prepare...

Just as important -- maybe more so -- is the chance to meet a bunch of like-minded people who hail from all sorts of backgrounds/walks of life.  Spending hours and hours around people who GET IT is so very good for the soul I cannot overstate it.  Instead of being surrounded by people that are all buying the standard programming -- or are overtly hostile to conflicting ideas about the state of things -- you get to marinate in the company of smart, concerned people who are DOING.  

You will come home energized, relaxed and ready to carry on.  And you'll likely have made some friends -- or at least deepened the "online relationships" you already have with the folks here at PP.

So:  GO!

Viva -- Sager

Algie's picture
Algie
Status: Bronze Member (Offline)
Joined: Jan 5 2011
Posts: 27
All the way from the UK

Been wanting to attend Rowe for a number of years now.  Finally decided that this might be my last chance to spend quality time with people that get it.  So burned up a large stack of air miles and booked a flight from Blighty to Boston.

 

Really looking forward to it

locksmithuk's picture
locksmithuk
Status: Silver Member (Offline)
Joined: Dec 19 2011
Posts: 123
Rowe webinars

Hi Chris / Becca / Adam / a.n.other Rowe organiser

I - like many fans of PP - would dearly love to attend in person, but can't. I don't recall that a webinar / live link option was discussed in previous years for the stay-at-homers, but I for one would sign up if the cost wasn't too prohibitive. I understand the commercial reasons for potentially not wanting to offer this (i.e. the loss of in-the-flesh exclusivity), but I can only think that attending via screen comes a very distant second to actually being there. Still, it's something. Plus....it's an extra revenue stream!

 

 

 

Sharsta's picture
Sharsta
Status: Bronze Member (Offline)
Joined: Aug 12 2009
Posts: 37
Rowe Seminars

I would like to second LocksmithUK, as I'm from a bit further away also (Australia).

If there isn't a chance for a Webinar, is there a chance that the seminars can get recorded and we can buy DVDs/downloads at a later date?

I am very interested, but traveling to the USA is not within my budget at this point in time.

Thanks

 

locksmithuk's picture
locksmithuk
Status: Silver Member (Offline)
Joined: Dec 19 2011
Posts: 123
Seconded
Sharsta wrote:

I am very interested, but traveling to the USA is not within my budget at this point in time.

Thanks

 

 

Plus, the NRL season starts soon, and I'm not missing that! wink

FooBarr's picture
FooBarr
Status: Member (Offline)
Joined: Oct 21 2010
Posts: 6
How about a mid-west conference?

Rowe sure would be sweet, but the 1300 mile road trip is a bit prohibitive for me at this time.  You folks should seriously consider a conference in the Midwest.  Maybe in the Omaha, Des Moines, or Kansas City area?  Pretty please.....indecision

aggrivated's picture
aggrivated
Status: Platinum Member (Offline)
Joined: Sep 22 2010
Posts: 543
TN to VT

Made the trip two years ago with my wife and it was worth every minute.  It's great to find out how great your fellow Peakprosperions really are. Besides, Vermont is just a slapdown beautiful place.

  We won't be there this year due to family commitments, but will be looking forward  to hearing some of what was discussed.  Just the Q & A discussion times were worth the trip because so many opened up and threw some deep concerns and dilemmas out.  The answers that really helped more often than not came from fellow attendees. Chris, Becca and Adam really keep the atmosphere of the meetings very open and unintimidating. Hope the group is full this year. What a great year to go since so much is going on right now.

Best to all who go.

Jealous in TN

aggrivated's picture
aggrivated
Status: Platinum Member (Offline)
Joined: Sep 22 2010
Posts: 543
Geographically challenged

So, the retreat really is in MA, but we went through Vermont on the trip.. All of that part of the USA is slapdown beautiful!   

darcieg76's picture
darcieg76
Status: Bronze Member (Offline)
Joined: Jan 3 2016
Posts: 78
Is Thursday a full day, or just an intro evening?

Maybe I missed a link to a schedule somewhere, but I'm considering this and would need to know if I should be flying across the country on Wed or Thurs. I don't want to miss a whole day of content if Thurs is a full day!

Wendy S. Delmater's picture
Wendy S. Delmater
Status: Diamond Member (Offline)
Joined: Dec 13 2009
Posts: 1988
webinar

I second Locksmithuk's comment.

I cannot attend but would pay for a webinar.

Adam Taggart's picture
Adam Taggart
Status: Peak Prosperity Co-founder (Offline)
Joined: May 26 2009
Posts: 3077
Thursday is an intro evening

darcieg76 -

Thursday will be an intro evening. Registration/check-in is from 4-7pm and the evening session begins after that.

If you are flying in from the Western US, assuming a 6-hr flight, the 3-hour time change and 2-ish hour drive time from the airport you fly into, you'll be hard pressed to make it on time if traveling on Thursday. I'd highly recommend flying on Wednesday and then making you way to Rowe from a nearby location on Thurs.

Adam Taggart's picture
Adam Taggart
Status: Peak Prosperity Co-founder (Offline)
Joined: May 26 2009
Posts: 3077
No video of Rowe this year

I'm sorry to disappoint with the news that there won't be a video of the Rowe seminar this year.

First off, Rowe isn't set up well for that from a technology standpoint. Also, filming really would detract from the intimate, safe space we create to foster the deep discussion and personal exploration & interaction that takes place there.

That said, committing our seminar content to video is something we've been seriously considering. But it would be a big time investment for us to get the content packaged and developed, let alone the related development investment in our video distribution platform -- so it comes at a cost to other PP initiatives.

Know that we're listening to the feedback from this community as we prioritize where this project fits versus the other big initiatives we're considering (writing an updated version of The Crash Course book, for instance)

Adam Taggart's picture
Adam Taggart
Status: Peak Prosperity Co-founder (Offline)
Joined: May 26 2009
Posts: 3077
Australia Seminar/Speaking Event

Sharsta -

Your comment is relevant to a regular discussion Chris and I have.

At PeakProsperity.com, we have a very healthy number of folks from Australia in our readership from ex-US countries. We'd like to address them more directly than we have in the past.

We'd be interested in coming to Australia for speaking events and/or offering a weekend seminar there. Our biggest challenge is not having specific leads & contacts to work with to co-ordinate that.

If anybody from OZ thinks they can gather enough interest and demand there to make bringing us out worthwhile for everyone involved, please contact me via email here. I'd love it if we can find a way to make this happen.

 

darcieg76's picture
darcieg76
Status: Bronze Member (Offline)
Joined: Jan 3 2016
Posts: 78
Thanks, Adam. I'd pretty much

Thanks, Adam. I'd pretty much arrived at the same conclusion. 

aggrivated's picture
aggrivated
Status: Platinum Member (Offline)
Joined: Sep 22 2010
Posts: 543
Rowe seminar reporting

IF you can pull together some gorilla reporting of comments from attendees each day it would not violate the safe space, but would involve the rest of us.  Just a short report of comments from any of the attendees who don't mind. Thanks

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