Investing in precious metals 101

Posts by Adam Taggart

  • Podcast

    Martin Armstrong: Dow 35,000 By 2021?

    Given the current capital flight into the US, it could happen
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, July 16, 2019, 8:15 AM

    18

    The most hated stock market rally still has room left to become truly despised, according to Martin Armstrong.

    With so much of the rest of the world beginning to succumb to the arriving global recession, capital is fleeing towards the relative safety and positive returns offered by America’s financial markets. As a result, Armstrong sees the US stock market continuing to power higher from here, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average potentially tagging 35,000 by 2021.

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  • Blog

    Upcoming Webinar: End Of The Road

    The false prosperity of the past 10 years is finally revealing itself to be a dead end
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, July 12, 2019, 11:01 AM

    0

    Register for the upcoming free webinar “End Of The Road”, airing on Thursday July 18th at 7pm ET/4pm PT, a joint production by Peak Prosperity, Jefferson Financial and Benchmark Financial Services.

    The false prosperity of the past 10 years is finally revealing itself to be a dead end.

    Which fallout implications we should we most likely expect from here? And what prudent steps should you consider taking now, to prepare before crisis arrives?

    Featured faculty for this webinar include Ted Siedle, national pension expert and recipient of the two largest-ever whistleblower settlements from the SEC and CFTC, Chris Martenson PhD, economic analyst and co-founder of PeakProsperity.com, and Brien Lundin, publisher of GoldNewsletter.com and producer of the world’s longest-running investment conference.

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  • Blog

    Advanced Strategies For Real Estate Investing

    Episode #6 of our webinar series airs live this Saturday
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, July 9, 2019, 8:44 PM

    4

    After needing to reschedule due to a family health crisis with our presenting expert, we are very happy to announce that Episode #6 of our webinar series on real estate investing, will air live this Saturday July 13 at noon ET.

    In it, Russell Gray will share several strategies used by more advanced real estate investors to increase their financial returns, protect their privacy, and boost their quality of life.

    If you haven’t already, be sure to sign up for this concluding presentation in our webinar series on real estate investing.

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  • Blog

    Bizarro World: The Herd Has Truly Gone Mad

    You're not crazy. The world we now live in is.
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, July 5, 2019, 4:02 PM

    28

    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one. ~ Charles Mackay (1841) Like me, you may often feel gobsmacked when looking at the world around you. How did things get so screwed up?…

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Cartel-driven Politics

    How the recent debates reveal the agendas of the deep-pocket donors
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, July 2, 2019, 10:17 AM

    50

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

    • Cartel-driven Politics
      • The debates reveal the agenda of the deep-pocket donors
    • Our Broken Health Care & Education Systems
      • They serve the cartels at the expense of their customers
    • ‘Burnout’ Is Becoming An Epidemic
      • And this is during the “good times”?
    • We Need A Movement Focused On “Meaning”
      • Isn’t that (and happiness) what really matters in life?

    This week Chris and Charles take a close look at the platforms being promoted by the bevy of presidential hopefuls, and lament the lock-step commitment to the same “business as usual” that is destroying the prospects and well-being of everyday Americans.

    Rather than looking critically at the “borrow and spend” addiction that is drowning us under an unserviceable mountain of debt and liabilities, the candidates are hustling to out-compete each other in spending $trillions more. All, of course, in service to the corporate cartels donating to their campaigns:

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

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  • Podcast

    Skip Horner: A Legendary Adventurer’s Guide To Managing Risk

    How to reach your goals while preventing costly mistakes
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, June 27, 2019, 2:55 PM

    7

    As a professional adventurer, planning for risk — for danger, for the unexpected — is essential if you want to come home alive. Legendary mountaineer and white water rafting guide Skip Horner attributes his long career and his record of never having lost a client while in the wild to meticulous planning before he embarks on an expedition. Planning in advance allows him and his team to react swiftly when surprises arise, and often to notice adverse conditions developing early and resolve them before they worsen.

    In this podcast, Skip shares his best practices for risk management, many of which universally apply to all dimensions of life including personal safety and financial security. And he drives these lessons home with white-knuckle stories from his personal adventures, when his life was held in the balance.

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  • Insider
    Federal Reserve

    Off The Cuff: Decoding This Week’s Fed Minutes

    Could the US really eventually see negative interest rates?
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, June 21, 2019, 2:24 PM

    0

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

    • Decoding The Fed’s Latest Commentary
      • Cuts are coming = expect more bad news on the economy
    • The Uncertainty Principle
      • By reacting, the Fed may be creating the conditions it wants to avoid
    • Gold Looking Good
      • Lower real rates will push the gold price higher
    • How Low Will Interest Rates Go?
      • Could the US really go negative?

    This week  both the ECB and the Federal Reserve gave the market the soothing words it wanted to hear: any weakness will be met with rate cuts. And perhaps revived asset purchase programs.

    Is this really wise with interest rates already so low and a global recession unfolding? And how low, really, is the Fed prepared to go with US interest rates? Axel, who maintains a dialog with Fed insiders, does his best in this week’s podcast to decode what Mario Draghi and Jerome Powell are planning.

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

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  • Blog

    ‘Somebody’ Finally Cares About Gold

    And now that $1,400/oz has been breached, there's plenty of room to run
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, June 21, 2019, 1:34 PM

    14

    On Tuesday, Mario Draghi apparently went rogue on his fellow policymakers and launched into a swan song version of his all-time hit “Whatever it takes”. The next day, Jerome Powell at the Fed confirmed his willingness to ease and let the market know he stands ready to cut rates multiple times over the next year.

    That — plus a downed US drone patrolling the Iran border — poured gasoline on gold, which spiked as high as $1,410/oz, finally breaking free of the $1,350 ceiling that had blocked its advance for years.

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  • Podcast

    Ronni Stoeferle: In Gold We Trust

    Why we may soon see prices of $1,500-1,600/oz
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, June 17, 2019, 11:51 PM

    3

    Fresh from releasing his exhaustive 340-page annual report titled In Gold We Trust, Ronald Stoerferle joins us to summarize his forecast for the yellow metal.

    Stoerferle, an author of several books on Austrian economics and head of strategy and portfolio management at Incrementum AG, concludes that gold is poised to move explosively higher. He sees a new bull market beginning for the precious metal — one likely to quickly build momentum as the impending recession arrives and the world’s central banks revert to extreme easing policy measures.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Into The Abyss

    The Fed's actions are quickly becoming the trigger that will blow up the system
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, June 13, 2019, 6:56 PM

    8

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

    • The Fed’s Desperation
      • It’s just playing for time at this point
    • Why Lower Rates Will Blow Up The System
      • ZIRP/Negative rates create all sort of perversities
    • Italy Threatens To Revert To The Lira
      • Is the Eurozone about to break up?
    • Bad Corporate Debt Is The Ticking Time Bomb
      • There’s simply way too much of it now

    In this excellent analysis, John does an exceptional job clarifying the unique point in economic history in which we live. The Federal Reserve is truly out of ideas at this point; it is simply playing for time until the system breaks:

    The point in the cycle where we are now is a really unusual time to talk about lowering interest rates. Normally when the labor markets are this tight, and wage inflation is running around 3% which it is right now, the Fed is usually tightening. Wage inflation is a kind of inflation they understand. This is as opposed to stock prices going up, bond prices, or house prices going up. That is inflation, but they do not count it as inflation. When wages go up, they usually start raising interest rates. It is really telling that they are seeing things that lead them to maybe start easing again even with the economy, in theory at least, still growing ten years into the beginning of an expansion.

    I think they are recognizing the fact that the world – not just the US, but the whole global financial system – is so highly leveraged that any kind of downturn becomes systemically risky. In other words, a 20% drop in stock prices which is the definition of a bear market is something that happens all the time at least historically. This time around, it might knock down other dominos in a way that is uncontrollable. This is just because there is so much bad debt out there.

    When you take on huge amounts of debt, by definition a lot of it has to be bad debt. Usually the good credits have already done their borrowing. If you are going to expand that beyond that point, you are going to have to work your way down into the barrel to the bottom of the barrel. That is where we are now. A lot of people who have borrowed money cannot pay it back. They are only hanging on because the economy is growing and because their paychecks are there. If you take that away, then Boom!. The system starts to fall apart.

    These guys know that at the Fed. They are trying to delay the inevitable easing because they know that interest rates are already so low. The European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan never did get to raise interest rates. The Fed only got to raise interest rates a little bit, which means they have no ammo going into the next recession. Normally the Fed will cut interest rates by about 5 percentage points from peak to trough. This is as a way of reinvigorating the economy during a recession. If they were going to do that now, we would be at negative 2 or 3% on the Fed funds rate. It would be more deeply negative for Europe and Japan. That is uncharted territory.

    What the Fed is doing now is using words. They are trying to talk the market up. It works (for now). Whenever they announce the possibility of easing or the cessation of tightening, you get a nice pop in the stock market. They are hoping that they can elevate asset prices until the China trade deal gets signed and until the turmoil in the Middle East has settled. That will also give the markets a pop, and that will keep the economy growing for a while. It will allow them to raise interest rates another couple of percentage points at the short end of the spectrum to give them ammo for the next recession.

    They really do not want to start cutting right now. From here, they really do not have much room to cut. I think it is highly unlikely that they are going to get what they want. In other words, it is an economy that grows for the next three years and allows them to raise the Fed funds rate to 5 or 6%. That is really, really unlikely in the scheme of things. They are going to be forced in the recession that is probably imminent just because the expansion has been going on for way longer than a normal expansion. It is going to run out of steam pretty soon. They are going to be forced to cut interest rates to zero and beyond.

    That is why Powell was talking about that. Now he is talking about the effective lower bound of interest rates which is below 0%, we found out in this last cycle. We do not know how far below zero it is. That is what we are going to find out this time around. In other words, how negative can you make interest rates before it becomes the problem rather than the solution? From an economic theory standpoint, that is fascinating. That is the kind of experiment you never expect to see in the real world. We are going to do it this time.

    We are going to find out what the absolute lowest level interest rates can go to before it blows up the system. I do not use the words “blow up” lightly. That is what could really happen when interest rates get down to that point, and it turns out they do not work. Then it is game over.

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

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