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    Thumbnail with title inflation and shortages at critical levels episode 10 Episode 010 Part 1

    Alert! Inflation & Shortages at Critical Levels

    Why now is the time to make your preparations
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, June 15, 2021, 6:30 PM

Video Description

The impacts to the average person from COVID will be dwarfed by the looming economic issues of inflation and shortages.

 

As your information scout, Dr. Chris Martenson will explain what inflation really is (so you can be smarter at parties) and explain where it really comes from.  Importantly, the Federal Reserve’s claim that inflation will be “transitory” is almost certainly wrong.  Inflation is risingcaused by printing too much moneyand will both exacerbate and be exacerbated by shortages.

 

Finally, in a global just-in-time economy, a missing critical raw or intermediate good can completely derail downstream manufacturing and delivery.  But those can be solved for rather easily.  Much more difficult are several missing components that potentially feed back into other critical manufacturing areas so that none can get going.  At least not quickly or easily.

 

Against this backdrop, the government continues to spend at record levels, creating record deficits, and the central banks continue to print and print and print.  All they can show for their efforts, for sure, is a record wealth gap between the ultra-wealthy and everyone else.

And that’s not good either.

 

I will be discussing these issue, live, with our Peak Prosperity paying audience this Saturday, June 19th, from 7-9 pm EST. 

Video





Audio

 

Part 2

To learn more about how to prepare for what’s coming, continue on to Part 2.

Webinar Discussion

To register for Saturday’s Insider webinar, click here.

Links

Fed Balance sheet

 

Chips & Farming

 

Chips & Cars

 

Pentobarbitol shortage

 

Copper

 

Transitory Inflation

Related content
» More

39 Comments

  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 6:36pm

    #1
    Hladini

    Hladini

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Dec 28 2011

    Posts: 297

    11

    I had a feeling

    Man oh man, am I jumpy.  The  blog hasn't even aired yet!  I've had a feeling about future shortages and rising prices.  Just spent about 1000 bucks building my pantry back up a couple of weekends ago.  Last year we put in a hand pump for our well, so have access to fresh water at all times.

    Still so much left to  do ..... especially communications.  We got producing fruit trees though, right now harvesting apples in FLORIDA no less!

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 7:01pm

    #2
    Mysterymet

    Mysterymet

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: May 23 2020

    Posts: 277

    2

    Kicking preps into high gear

    The potatoes and squash are doing well in the garden. I was holding off on buying the food freeze drier until later this summer but might have to go down to the farm and fleet this weekend and get one.

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 7:39pm

    #3

    Arthur Robey

    Status: Platinum Member

    Joined: Feb 03 2010

    Posts: 2067

    1

    Copper.

    As a mining electrician, I was impressed at how much copper we left down a mine when we decommissioned the mine.

    So there is an opportunity for a young buck to go get it. You don't have to dig the mine, but beware of stale air.

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 7:54pm

    #4

    SagerXX

    Status: Gold Member

    Joined: Feb 11 2009

    Posts: 600

    7

    Speeding my preps...

    Just bought some more NAC and today a food dehydrator.  Nice stainless steel unit.  Stoked!

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 8:12pm

    #5
    westcoastjan

    westcoastjan

    Status: Gold Member

    Joined: Jun 04 2012

    Posts: 636

    12

    Drying, canning, food sealer equipment and bags

    My sister in small town south central BC tells me she cannot find any wide mouth mason jar lids anywhere in the region... and it is not even high canning season yet.

    Sager: you will love that dehydrator! I have a great table top one that stacks high. This week so far I have pureed and dried 8 lbs each of blueberries and raspberries which were on sale this week. Think of it being like fruit leather. I break into small pieces/batches then seal in food sealer bags. They last a long time this way, with no refrigeration needed. High energy & nutritious. I am now eating the last of my dried strawberries from 2016! (it was a bumper year lol) No spoilage in all that time! 👍

    Deep pantries are so reassuring during uncertain times!

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 8:21pm

    #6
    thesecuritygirl

    thesecuritygirl

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Mar 23 2020

    Posts: 143

    1

    recommend a dehydrator?

    which one should I buy?

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 8:25pm

    #7

    Arthur Robey

    Status: Platinum Member

    Joined: Feb 03 2010

    Posts: 2067

    4

    Banksters? Beware!

    There is a certain naivete that gathers apace in the world.

    How soon are these people going to be labeled "terrorists", "Nazis" or have kiddie porn discovered on their computers?

    Adolph dismissed the Banksters and their Thrall and our Masters sent us to bomb Germany into a bloodsoaked rubble.

    (I am fully aware that this is not a popular analysis. Spare me your outrage.)





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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 8:52pm

    Montana Native

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Mar 17 2009

    Posts: 176

    4

    Dehydrator

    Excalibur is a brand often mentioned on this site. At one point there was a coupon on PP as I recall. Years ago. I've had mine a decade and love it.

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 9:25pm

    LinLamb

    LinLamb

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    Joined: Dec 19 2020

    Posts: 6

    3

    LinLamb said:

    It was hard to find canning lids last year also.   None to be had in our local stores this year either but you can buy a full jar with canning lid set.

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 10:17pm

    stealyourface

    stealyourface

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Mar 14 2020

    Posts: 103

    5

    stealyourface said:

    second the canning lids. I look every week at the big box stores. I've been lucky on three separate occasions and should have enough to get through the next 2 years but lids were only present on 3 occasions since last Mayish - unless you want Pur lids. I have no experience with Pur so I welcome some thought.

    I'm planning on this Thursday to be a prep day..on my list so far

    vacuum packer supplies. ground burger bags ( I process my own deer and goose meat). dry goods. toilet paper. and I think I'm gonna grab veggies seeds for next season if I can. I may grab a small chest freezer just to have but not use

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 10:18pm

    #11
    Dontknownothin

    Dontknownothin

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Mar 14 2020

    Posts: 314

    2

    The why of high stock prices.

    The federal reserve has it stated on their website that they have a fiduciary responsibility to serve the public interest. Paraphrasing, but that's the sum of it. The public interest from their perspective is to preserve retirement income which (surprise surprise!) Is heavily invested in MBSs and stocks and treasury bonds. If they raise interest rates, the bonds lose value and the market gets flooded with worthless debt and the stock markrt tanks. If they lower interest rates, inflation gets worse. So they have their hands tied and all they can do is say "it's transitory".

    One correction I have to make though is the 2019 spike was when the fed bailed out the repo market which spiked up to about 12% and kept zombie companies from getting their overnight funds to continue doing business. Were they to fail though, the stock market would have plummetted 30, maybe 50% and would have left so many unemployed in the streets the great depression would have looked like promising times.

    The real problem is these companies, whose stocks are rolled up into indexes and owned by 401k's and union retirement funds, and whose commercial debt is rolled up into CDO's and CDO squareds (if not only by another name today), that their failure would mean the public interest would have been jeopardized. All this stems from ghe too big to fail years where the fed dropped interest rates to historic lows and then kept dropping them. They kept them there through the Obama administration when all financial indicators said they should have been raising them. They instead played politics since race relations demanded Obama be treated with kid gloves. When Trump took office, they raised rates a quarter percent, and the market reaction was a couple thousand point drop... the damage was already done and it was not recoverable. Since then, they've been bailing water out just long enough to try to find a suitable liferaft, but none exists. This problem is too widespread and penetrates every aspect of the global economy. This is just the slow tip of the rollercoaster as it releases from the chain and slowly coasts over the first hill before the plummet. Half of us can see the bottom, and the other half still think the skies the limit. But the rollercoaster only heads one direction. How fast is the only variable we can control at this point.

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 10:22pm

    westcoastjan

    westcoastjan

    Status: Gold Member

    Joined: Jun 04 2012

    Posts: 636

    2

    Food dehydrator buying info

    This is the one I have:

    https://www.leevalley.com/en-ca/shop/kitchen/canning-and-preserving/66386-food-dehydrator?item=EV332

    They have the extra trays etc as well. No doubt you can get something similar via Amazon. I try to not feed the beast. Lee Valley is a really impressive private company - gardening and woodworking specialty. I am certain they are in America as well.

    I can tell you that it is a good thing they do not sell fly fishing stuff too, or I would be in serious financial trouble... I spend enough there to be invited to their consumer advisory committee.  But hey, it is better than money in the bank at 0.002% interest. Great service, impeccable quality, 3 month money back guarantees. Awesome! 👍

     

     

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 11:03pm

    BeeFarmer

    BeeFarmer

    Status: Member

    Joined: Mar 14 2020

    Posts: 43

    2

    Canning lid supply

    Here’s where I bought 3,000 canning lids 😆. Seriously, I’ll never have to buy them again. I heard that the Amish buys the generic ones this company sells. I figured if it’s good enough for them, then....

    https://www.fillmorecontainer.com/catalogsearch/result/?q=+canning+lids

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  • Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - 11:07pm

    BeeFarmer

    BeeFarmer

    Status: Member

    Joined: Mar 14 2020

    Posts: 43

    5

    Excalibur 👍

    I too have the Excalibur brand and LOVE it.  Mine’s  16 years old and it’s had lots of hours logged on it with absolutely no problems or replacements.

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 12:03am

    #15
    Joseph Thomas

    Joseph Thomas

    Status: Member

    Joined: Apr 12 2020

    Posts: 13

    2

    Food preservation

    No shortage of lids for jars but I need more bands for my freeze dried jars. Ordered from Lehman's 5/15/21 still not shipped.  Robinair premium vacuum pump oil ordered for my freeze dryer on 5/09/21 still not shipped.  Hope you have any lubricants or grease you might need for equipment as that looks like the next domino to fall.

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 2:10am

    #16
    AndrewOregon

    AndrewOregon

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Mar 13 2020

    Posts: 93

    0

    A Trillion or a Billion?

    Great video as always Chris. Thanks! I think you said a thousand million is a trillion. In any case, the point is the same.

     

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 6:02am

    grandefille

    grandefille

    Status: Member

    Joined: Oct 11 2010

    Posts: 52

    2

    Tattler reusable canning lids

    A couple of years ago I bought some Tattler reusable canning lids.  The lid is actually two pieces:  a solid top piece and a rubbery gasket.  You still use a screw-on band, but most people who can have lots of those.  The jars need a bit more headspace and you can't fully tighten the band until after processing, but they have worked well for me.  I bought more in the late summer of 2020 and it took at least a month for delivery.  They are available on Amazon, and the link below is to the company web site (not updated often)

    Julie

    https://reusablecanninglids.com/

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 6:07am

    grandefille

    grandefille

    Status: Member

    Joined: Oct 11 2010

    Posts: 52

    2

    Amish & canning lids

    There is a large Amish community 35 miles from me.  I often shop at their general store:  lots of high quality farm equipment at good prices.  They usually have canning lids in paper sleeves of 300-400. Mid summer 2020 they had absolutely nothing.  No store in Michigan had any lids.  In May 2021 the Amish store has lids, but you can only buy a few dozen at a time.  I believe that they are getting a few from their bulk supplier and repackaging.  The local "English" stores occasionally get a shipment which is sold out immediately, kind of like toilet paper in April 2020 🙂

    Julie

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 7:10am

    VTGothic

    VTGothic

    Status: Gold Member

    Joined: Jan 05 2020

    Posts: 669

    4

    Also an Excaliber fan

    My mother got it for me when she decided I really had to have one. I didn't think so  because her idea of Christmas and birthday presents was to send  boxes of dehydrated veggies and fruits that she'd made from the culls at the organic food market she worked in for almost 20 years (after retiring from a teaching career). She was always quirky - a health food pioneer before it was a popular thing.

    Anyhow, I've got an Excalibur. An excellent, high capacity device that I've mostly used for making beef jerky, and fruit rollups for visiting grandchildren. I prefer canned, pickled, and fermented preservation to dehydration. But dehydrated keeps large volumes very well in small spaces and serves in crisis.

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 9:51am

    #20
    GardensAreGreat

    GardensAreGreat

    Status: Member

    Joined: Sep 30 2020

    Posts: 19

    2

    Tight Birkenstock supply

    Bought a pair of Birkenstock tennis shoes this week. Store had a sign by their Birkenstocks apologizing for the tight supply. For the shoes I wanted, if i wanted a different color or size outside of what they currently had in stock, I would have to wait until mid 2022. Wow. Store clerk said they could not even order at this time. Looking online, it also appears the supply is tight as well.

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 9:56am

    #21
    Mysterymet

    Mysterymet

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: May 23 2020

    Posts: 277

    1

    Harvest right freeze drier with oil free pump

    I am looking to buy a harvest right freeze drier with an oil free pump over the weekend from the farm and fleet. Anyone here have any opinions on them?

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 12:15pm

    ezlxq1949

    ezlxq1949

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Apr 29 2009

    Posts: 445

    4

    Re: Banksters? Beware!

    Arthur, thanks for that video link. It explains why the former head of Australia Post was hounded out of office over a trivial matter, trivial but politically highly expedient. Like so many others I had read the reports but not enough of the background.

    Good luck to the Citizens' Party. I've never heard of them, but they're small and based in Melbourne, so it's no surprise. We have an increasingly dictatorial federal government which is taking this country in a most alarming direction. It's just signed up to a "free" trade deal with the UK, in which AFAIK it's possible for corporations to sue governments. Sigh, this old agenda. Remember the MAI?

    As to jars and lids for preserving, Australia once had a thriving glassware manufacturing industry. Now we get all our glass jars from China. A deep pantry would necessarily require large stocks of glass jars just in case China finally gets tired of Australia and our precarious supply chains are cut off.

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 12:19pm

    LB86

    LB86

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    Joined: Feb 02 2011

    Posts: 39

    1

    LB86 said:

    Hello,

    I believe that this situation is as Chris says a predicament, not a problem. The Fed may be thinking that they can up with a "solution", unlikely as getting a parachute AFTER jumping out of the plane is not an option.

    Regards,

    Ed

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 12:47pm

    BeeFarmer

    BeeFarmer

    Status: Member

    Joined: Mar 14 2020

    Posts: 43

    3

    Harvest Right

    I’ve wanted one for years!  Wished I bought it then when they were $500 cheaper!  My farmer friend has one and she highly recommends it. She even freeze dried goats milk. I’ve also eaten some of what she’s dried- she dries everything!  It’s amazing!

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 12:56pm

    grandefille

    grandefille

    Status: Member

    Joined: Oct 11 2010

    Posts: 52

    2

    Medium Harvest Right; standard pump

    I bought this a few weeks ago... at the Amish store I mentioned above.  I would have preferred the upgraded oil using pump (change oil less often) but that's what they had in stock.  Changing the oil is easy, and their filter is a simple, ingenous design that uses coffee filters.  The system is easy to operate and I've had good results so far (7 batches) unless food was pre-frozen too thick.  Pulls an impressive vacuum!   I used vacuum pumps a lot during my research career.  I wish there was a water trap between the unit and pump, and might rig up one for myself.  The downside to that is that it would be an added complication and one more opportunity for vacuum leak.  It's loud enough that I'm glad it's in a distant spare bedroom, not next to the living room.  That room gets hot if the weather is hot (we don't run AC much).  I've learned a lot from a FB group "A Better Freeze Drying Group for the Harvest Right"...

    Julie

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 3:28pm

    Torii

    Torii

    Status: Member

    Joined: Mar 03 2020

    Posts: 42

    3

    Excalibur / Barter

    Another shout-out to recommend the Excalibur dehydrator. It makes wonderful yogurt, as well as dried veggies, leathers and jerky. Seasoned Lacinato kale chips will rock your world. But the dehydrator is only the first component to preserving the harvest this way; you also need a vacuum sealer and reliable quality plastic and Mylar bags, plus those little oxygen absorbers if you’re aiming for a 20-to-30-year shelf life. So definitely a few start-up costs. I recently opened some veggies I dehydrated in 2009, and they were still serviceable in a rich curry.

    I also have the Country Living grain mill, a true workhorse that will probably outlive my grandchildren. Freshly-milled and baked bread will be at the forefront of my bartering scheme if life tanks around me. Also soap.

    I’d love to know what other folks hope to trade locally if community resources grow scarce. Best wishes

     

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 3:39pm

    #27

    SagerXX

    Status: Gold Member

    Joined: Feb 11 2009

    Posts: 600

    6

    dehydrator barter

    I live on Maui, about 2000 ft elevation (on the slope of 13,000' high Mt. Haleakala).  I plan on dehydrating fruits (lychee, mango, papaya, breadfruit, rambutan, lemons, limes, pomelo, etc.).  Can trade uphill for various meat taken by hunters (pig, cow, axis deer) and fruits and veggies that won't grow where we are (greens, avocados, etc.), and we can trade downhill for things that grow better in warmer/wetter areas (kalo, cassava, bananas) and for fish that people are either catching on rods or spearfishing.  In addition I'll be making ionic silver and getting a friend to go professional with his still making moonshine (for the obvious purpose, plus for making medicinal tinctures from healing plants).

    Gonna be busy!

    VIVA -- Sager

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 8:20pm

    #28

    Eannao

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Feb 28 2015

    Posts: 226

    4

    Abondoning Ka-Poom theory

    Hi Chris,

    I was interested to hear that you think it's now more likely we skip the 'Ka' (deflationary bust) and go straight to the 'Poom' (inflationary melt up).

    Stan Druckenmiller said that the surest way to create a deflationary bust is to blow asset bubbles and have them pop. Given that we're now in the unprecedented Everything Bubble, don't you think that is too big for the Fed (et al) to prevent bursting, much as they might try?

    Thanks, E

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 9:37pm

    #29
    Mark Carlin

    Mark Carlin

    Status: Member

    Joined: Mar 02 2009

    Posts: 11

    3

    Food dehydrator

    I got a Gourmia dehydrator a year or two ago. About half the price of Excalibur as I recall. Does fine. Not much to them really, just a metal box with a slide off door and slots for trays (mine fits 9- glad I didn’t go smaller), a fan mounted in back surrounded by an a heat element, and vent slots for air escape and inflow.

    If I don’t want any heat, just air circulation via fan only, I remove the back cover and temporarily disconnect the lead wire to the heat element. Easy peezy

    Sun dried tomatoes, dried morel mushrooms? Hot sun and outdoor natural airflow does the job just fine, too.

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 9:43pm

    Eannao

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Feb 28 2015

    Posts: 226

    1

    Abandoning Ka-Poom theory

    Chris,

    I'd also be interested to hear your take on Lacy Hunt's view that structural deflationary forces remain in place (including poor demographics, high debt levels and slower growth) and so he expects this inflation to be transitory.

    (He also makes a point about the Federal Reserve QE not being inflationary in it's current format, but I don't entirely understand this point. Perhaps you could shed some light. Thanks!)

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  • Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - 9:54pm

    #31
    Mysterymet

    Mysterymet

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: May 23 2020

    Posts: 277

    0

    Thanks for the info on the harvest right

    Hopefully they still have the unit I want at the farm and fleet this weekend! Fingers crossed!

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  • Thu, Jun 17, 2021 - 6:32am

    #32
    Hladini

    Hladini

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Dec 28 2011

    Posts: 297

    2

    More Enemy Fire

    Another report of another network/computer/website glitch: https://www.yahoo.com/news/major-banks-airlines-report-online-053317091.html

    It appears Cyber-polygon has been deployed:  https://www.weforum.org/projects/cyber-polygon

    I've noticed something about all these war-gaming/simulations stunts.  Sometimes the simulation is done before the actual event (think Dark Winter and anthrax/Covid19), sometimes the simulation occurs during the actual event (think 911/777 london bombing), and now we have the 'events' occurring before the simulation (think cyber-polygon).

    As for Covid and the vaccine roll out, get a load of this shit:  https://jhsphcenterforhealthsecurity.s3.amazonaws.com/spars-pandemic-scenario.pdf

    Unbelievably, these bastards simulated how they're going to react to the public's, particularly parents', perceptions that the vaccines caused harm - from an experimental vaccination program in reaction to the "SPARS" pandemic. (Drop the "PR" and whaddayagot?)

    Should they glorify the public's sacrifice or commiserate with the public's grief?

    Decisions, decisions, decisions.

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  • Thu, Jun 17, 2021 - 6:57am

    #33
    Hladini

    Hladini

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Dec 28 2011

    Posts: 297

    0

    Enemy Fire from all Sides

    Hhmmmm, ever wonder what traps heat? https://www.yahoo.com/news/nasa-earth-trapping-unprecedented-amount-234135519.html

    Well this film will educate you on what traps heat:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rf78rEAJvhY

    The Dimming is produced by Dane Wigington, from: https://www.geoengineeringwatch.org/ads/dane-wigington/

    The film is an updated and excellent documentation of our governments ongoing weather manipulation experiments beginning in the 40's, all under the guise of national security and of course partnered up with private industry.

    It really makes ya wonder if aliens are in charge after all.

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  • Thu, Jun 17, 2021 - 11:18pm

    David May

    David May

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    Joined: Feb 11 2020

    Posts: 4

    0

    David May said:

    Where did you find your NAC? I am having a very hard time finding it.

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  • Fri, Jun 18, 2021 - 4:49am

    Hans

    Hans

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Aug 09 2017

    Posts: 139

    1

    Hans said:

    Hladini, thanks for raising this video! I knew things were up and of course I heard about chemtrails. But this knowledge really scares me.

    I can think of only 3 possible options and they are all equally terrifying:

    1. They do this with the best of intentions, but are too stupid to understand the consequences.

    2. They are pure evil and only care about power, war and destruction.

    3. They know of even bigger threats coming our way and have made the decision to choose the least harmful option. In doing so, a conscious decision is made to sacrifice many lives in order to save more lives.

    Any of these options are scary. It also shows the enormous power we are dealing with. It's very intimidating.

     

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  • Fri, Jun 18, 2021 - 7:04am

    Oliveoilguy

    Status: Gold Member

    Joined: Jun 29 2012

    Posts: 1161

    1

    NAC

    I found some on Ebay.

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  • Fri, Jun 18, 2021 - 7:13am

    KathyP

    KathyP

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Jun 19 2008

    Posts: 79

    1

    NAC at allstarhealth

    Seems to be a good supply at allstarhealth dot com

    https://www.allstarhealth.com/li.aspx?k=NAC+(+N-Acetyl-Cysteine)

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  • Fri, Jun 18, 2021 - 1:20pm

    wilderabbit

    wilderabbit

    Status: Member

    Joined: Dec 11 2020

    Posts: 45

    0

    NAC Piping Rock

    David - www.pipingrock.com still has some. I bought 4 bottles when I first heard the news.

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  • Sat, Jun 19, 2021 - 6:33am

    grandefille

    grandefille

    Status: Member

    Joined: Oct 11 2010

    Posts: 52

    0

    Piping Rock NAC

    Thanks for the suggestion.  I just ordered from them.

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