GDP

Insider

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Off The Cuff: Growth Is Gone

Annual GDP growth is clocking in at 0.4%
Thursday, April 7, 2016, 11:34 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • Growth Is Gone
    • GDP is growing at a 0.4% annual rate
  • Folly & A Finite Planet
    • Our blind pursuit of external growth is dooming us
  • Bubbles Create Bad Decision-making
    • And we are in the biggest bubble yet
  • The Panama Papers
    • Yep - the rich *do* play by different rules
Podcast

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Ed Butowsky: Calculating The True Cost of Living Increase

Why it's much higher than we're told/sold
Sunday, March 20, 2016, 1:06 PM

Over the past decade, we've been told that inflation has been tame -- actually below the target the Federal Reserve would like to see. But if that's true, then why does the average household find it harder and harder to get by?

The ugly reality is that the true annual cost of living is far outpacing the government's reported inflation rate. By nearly 10x in many parts of the country.

This week, we welcome Ed Butowsky, developer of the Chapwood Index, to the program. His index is a 'real world' measure of how prices are increasing much faster than the wages of the 99% can afford. » Read more

Blog

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Deflation Warning: The Next Wave

The global economic slump is accelerating
Thursday, October 1, 2015, 12:36 AM

The signs of deflation are now flashing all over the globe. In our estimation, the possibility of an associated financial crisis is now dangerously high over the next few months. » Read more

Blog

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Why Greece Is The Precursor To The Next Global Debt Crisis

The Eurozone fantasy will be one of the early casualties
Friday, July 10, 2015, 11:48 AM

There is no way for Greece to fix its debt problem if it keeps the euro as its currency.  Every purported solution that doesn’t address the core cause of the debt is mere theater. » Read more

Insider

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The Price of Everything & The Value of Nothing

Is all we know in a bubble-driven market
Tuesday, June 23, 2015, 4:50 PM

My view is that the stock market is simply pegging itself to the idea that the central banks have backed themselves into a corner and that there’s no other option but to keep the liquidity spigots open. I cannot fault that view, as it has been right for the past 6 years.

However, it cannot be true forever. And we all know that a day of reckoning is out there somewhere.  » Read more

Blog

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As Goes The Credit Market, So Goes The World

When confidence cracks, we'll see it there first
Friday, June 5, 2015, 11:46 AM

During the prior economic cycle of 2003-2007, one question I asked again and again was: Is the US running on a business cycle or a credit cycle?

That question was prompted by a series of data I have tracked for decades; data that tells a very important story about the character of the US economy. Specifically, that data series is the relationship of total US Credit Market Debt relative to US GDP. » Read more

Blog

Oleksii Sergieiev, Dreamstime

For Heaven's Sake: Hedge!

If you're not positioned defensively by now, you're nuts
Thursday, April 30, 2015, 10:58 PM

Last fall, I wrote an article titled Defying Gravity that warned of the absurd price levels that stocks and bonds had risen to. Less than a month later, the stock market abruptly dropped by 7%. Those who didn't seek safety in advance were left licking their wounds, panicked not knowing if the painful down-draft was over.

So here we are roughly six months later, and the same warning bells are ringing -- just louder this time. » Read more

Insider

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Off the Cuff: Economic Growth Is Dead

But no one is willing to admit it
Thursday, April 30, 2015, 5:15 PM

In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • Economic Growth Is Dead
    • Though world governments fear admitting that
  • The War On Cash
    • Rumors abound cash may eventually be outlawed
  • Crisis Inevitability
    • A crash is coming, whether we're too exhausted for it or not
  • Civil Rights Are Casualty #1 Of Our Failing System
    • Baltimore is just the latest flashpoint in many more to come
Blog

Bloomberg

Has The Fed Already Lost?

Growth is dying & the Fed has few options left
Friday, April 17, 2015, 3:36 PM

Increasingly we live in a world of Now. Instantaneous access to digital real time data and news has simply become a given in our lives of the moment.

You may be surprised to know that the Federal Reserve has taken notice. » Read more

Insider

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Off the Cuff: Hot Money, Cold Econony

Global capital is fleeing Asia, while US GDP stagnates
Thursday, April 16, 2015, 2:28 PM

In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Brain Pretti discuss:

  • Global Capital Flows
    • The hot money is fleeing Asia and inflating Western assets
  • What Recovery?
    • GDP growth appears to be returning to 0%
  • What Will Happen When The Fed Raises Rates
    • Or better put: can it raise rates without destroying the economy?
  • Lack Of Competent Leaders
    • Those making the big decisions are not the ones we want making them