I had a chance to sit down with retired U.S. Army Lieutenant Colonel Daniel L. Davis — a 21-year combat veteran who served four deployments to the front lines of Iraq and Afghanistan – to tap his deep military experience about what Trump’s remaining Iranian options really are.
At this point, they are ‘bad’ and ‘worse.’
Either Trump has to approach negotiations from a place of ‘give and take,’ or he’s got to escalate the war on the hope that the Strait can be forced open.
The first option seems out of Trump’s emotional wheelhouse, and the second stands almost no chance of succeeding. At least, not in time.
The ticking clock is the steadily draining oil inventories of the world. Those provide at most a few months before the global recession gives way to a global depression (and possibly famine). That’s not a lot of time to secure a believable and durable peace in the region.
We also discussed what an impatient Trump might do under such circumstances. Daniel believes some advisors are whispering nuclear options into Trump’s ear. Should Trump go down that path, the US will turn into an international pariah and open up the prospect of the US being shunned and sanctioned by the world.
Daniel takes the same No-BS-Just-The-Facts approach that we here at Peak Prosperity admire and follow.
Timestamps
00:00 Introduction to the Iran War Episode
01:30 Current Situation and Ceasefire Dynamics
02:46 Escalation of Conflict and Oil Supply Concerns
05:55 Military Engagements and U.S. Naval Operations
09:08 War Powers Act and Presidential Authority
11:52 Military Strategy and Air Campaign Effectiveness
14:52 Negotiation Styles and International Relations
17:56 Iran’s Response and Regional Stability
21:09 China’s Role and Global Oil Market Dynamics
23:55 Iran’s Missile Capabilities and Challenges
27:39 Geography’s Role in Military Strategy
31:15 The Consequences of Military Escalation
33:00 The Nuclear Option: A Dangerous Consideration
39:35 Economic Implications of Conflict
41:50 The Path to Negotiation and Resolution
by cmartenson 
