Pretty concise summary of how it is.
Realistically, I can’t see much changing until things fall apart and hard reality forces everyone to be more responsible. Then the cycle starts all over again.
I agree. Things have to fall apart for it to change but what comes after it all falls apart? This just maybe the time that the global-powers-that-be decide to wrest control from a helpless world population and usher in a new feudalism. Whats to stop them? Once the military, government and banks meld together as one entity, protecting and supporting one another, the outlook could be grim.
History shows we tend to not have much of a collective memory.

This thread was inspired by reading many threads on the economy and money creation. In This Time Is Different, Reinhart and Rogoff make a strong case that all systems that have been tried eventually self-destructed. I have observed repeatedly in my life that a system is only as good as the people who run it. There is no mechanical design that will solve this problem as long as powerful people have the capacity to subvert it to their advantage. Here is a quick sketch of some of the issues that brought us to our present state and frustrate ideas for improvement.
1 - Short term thinking – People are hard-wired by evolution to grab the quick reward and let the future take care of its self. Individuals and cultures that have the discipline to defer gratification and plan for the long term will do better overall, but only if they are not overwhelmed by the short-term thinkers.
2 - Mature economy – As our economy matured and basic needs were readily met, we created demand for new products and services that were not productive, but consumed wealth instead. Buying imported oil and shipping our manufacturing capacity overseas compounded the problem.
3 - Complexity – As cultures mature their increasing complexity no longer provides benefits, but becomes a detriment. (The Collapse Of Complex Societies, Joseph Tainter, 1988)
4 - You can’t regulate pirates – Some people have a consuming drive to acquire power through money. When those with no scruples are the most successful, then corruption spreads throughout the system as others adopt these destructive ways out of self defense. No amount of bureaucratic micro-management will contain them. They must be driven from the system or broken into small units as was done with the anti-trust laws over 100 years ago. This can’t be done when they can buy Congress.
5 - Sovereign control – Some people have a consuming drive to acquire power through politics. Again, when those with no scruples are the most successful, corruption spreads throughout the system as others adopt the winning strategy of the political pirates. The American constitution was designed to stop this, but it has been systematically subverted over the years to reward those with power. Any economic or money system you can create is vulnerable to sovereign power. “Who guards the guards?”
“The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public's money.” – Alexis de Tocqueville, 1835
6 - Decadent citizens – When life was hard and people struggled to get by, there were brakes on our government. Citizens voted out politicians that did not acknowledge their reality. With prolonged affluence people came to expect unsustainable ways to continue working because they appeared to be successful. Comforting beliefs that are not realistic flourish without a reality check.
The dilemma – Most people just want to get on with their private lives. Making a living and raising a family consumes most of our energy and attention. The people who run our economy and government are consumed by their drive for power. They do this all day everyday, all their lives, and are well rewarded. Their inside knowledge allows them to rig the system in innumerable ways and paint their actions with a veneer of respectability. You can’t beat an expert at his own game. No matter what system you devise those without scruples will find a way to subvert it if allowed.
So we have the corporate and wealthy elites bribing Congress with campaign contributions. And Congress bribing the citizens with benefits they aren’t paying for. And everyone passing the bill to “the future”. We were all fat and happy. Now the bill is due, and as Chris says, “The future is here.”
Realistically, I can’t see much changing until things fall apart and hard reality forces everyone to be more responsible. Then the cycle starts all over again. In my view, any proposed solutions have to contend with all the issues above to have any chance of success.
What are your thoughts? Feel free to disagree, but please explain why. I think we can have a good discussion about this and all learn from it.
Travlin