Jim Puplava in is latest podecast with Chris Nelder ( http://www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour/guest-expert/2012/01/13/chris-nelder/political-stand-off-in-us-energy-policy ) mentioned a new report from the Australian Government named "Transport energy futures: long-term oil supply trends and projections". I haven't read it yet but it seems interresting, here is the link:
http://aie.org.au/StaticContent/Images/Report_120106.pdf
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Contents Foreword ................................................................................................................................. iii Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................... iv At a glance ................................................................................................................................ v Executive summary.............................................................................................................. xxv Chapter 1 Oil ................................................................................................................... 1 Chapter 2 The link between oil discovery and production ................................... 5 Chapter 3 North America ........................................................................................... 15 Lower 48 states ........................................................................................... 15 Alaska ........................................................................................................... 18 Canadian conventional ............................................................................ 22 Deep water and non-conventional oil .................................................. 26 North America summary.......................................................................... 27 Chapter 4 Latin America.............................................................................................. 45 Venezuela ................................................................................................... 45 Mexico ......................................................................................................... 50 The Rest of Latin America ........................................................................ 54 Venezuelan extra heavy and Brazilian deep water ............................. 58 Latin America summary ............................................................................ 59 Chapter 5 Africa ............................................................................................................ 77 Libya ............................................................................................................. 77 Nigeria ......................................................................................................... 82 Algeria .......................................................................................................... 86 Egypt ............................................................................................................ 90 Angola .......................................................................................................... 94 The Rest of Africa ...................................................................................... 98 African deep water oil ............................................................................ 102 Africa summary ........................................................................................ 103 Chapter 6 Europe ....................................................................................................... 127 United Kingdom ...................................................................................... 127 Norway ...................................................................................................... 132 France ........................................................................................................ 136 The Rest of Europe .................................................................................. 139 Europe summary ..................................................................................... 144 Chapter 7 Eurasia ........................................................................................................ 159 Russia ......................................................................................................... 159 China .......................................................................................................... 164 Kazakhstan ................................................................................................ 168 Azerbaijan ................................................................................................. 172 The Rest of Eurasia .................................................................................. 176 Chinese deep water oil production ..................................................... 181 Eurasia summary ...................................................................................... 181 Chapter 8 The East ..................................................................................................... 205 Indonesia .................................................................................................. 205 India ........................................................................................................... 210 Malaysia ..................................................................................................... 214 Australia..................................................................................................... 218 The Rest of the East ................................................................................. 222 Summary of the East ............................................................................... 226 Chapter 9 Non-Gulf Middle East ............................................................................. 249 Chapter 10 The Middle East Gulf .............................................................................. 259 Saudi Arabia.............................................................................................. 259 Iran ............................................................................................................. 264 Iraq ............................................................................................................. 268 Kuwait ........................................................................................................ 272 The Rest of the Middle East Gulf .......................................................... 276 Summary of the Middle East Gulf ........................................................ 280 Chapter 11 Deep water oil .......................................................................................... 303 Regional deep water oil production .................................................... 306 The Gulf of Mexico ................................................................................. 307 Brazil .......................................................................................................... 310 Nigeria ....................................................................................................... 313 Angola ........................................................................................................ 315 Other deep water .................................................................................... 318 Total deep water ...................................................................................... 322 Chapter 12 Non-conventional oil .............................................................................. 339 Non-conventional oil .............................................................................. 340 Canadian non-conventional .................................................................. 340 Venezuelan non-conventional .............................................................. 341 Total non-conventional .......................................................................... 342 Chapter 13 World crude oil production .................................................................. 345 Regional oil production ........................................................................ 345 World oil production .............................................................................. 349 Chapter 14 World liquids ............................................................................................ 371 Natural gas plant liquids ........................................................................ 371 Refinery gains........................................................................................... 376 Biofuels ...................................................................................................... 377 Minor liquids ............................................................................................ 378 Total liquids .............................................................................................. 378 Chapter 15 Conclusions .............................................................................................. 395 Appendix A Other forecasts ........................................................................................ 399 Early world oil forecasts ......................................................................... 399 Turn of the century world oil/liquids forecasts ................................. 400 The 2008 International Energy Agency world liquids forecast ....... 404 Appendix B Data sources ............................................................................................. 407 Glossary ................................................................................................................................ 411 References ............................................................................................................................ 417
Contents
Foreword ................................................................................................................................. iii
Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................... iv
At a glance ................................................................................................................................ v
Executive summary.............................................................................................................. xxv
Chapter 1 Oil ................................................................................................................... 1
Chapter 2 The link between oil discovery and production ................................... 5
Chapter 3 North America ........................................................................................... 15
Lower 48 states ........................................................................................... 15
Alaska ........................................................................................................... 18
Canadian conventional ............................................................................ 22
Deep water and non-conventional oil .................................................. 26
North America summary.......................................................................... 27
Chapter 4 Latin America.............................................................................................. 45
Venezuela ................................................................................................... 45
Mexico ......................................................................................................... 50
The Rest of Latin America ........................................................................ 54
Venezuelan extra heavy and Brazilian deep water ............................. 58
Latin America summary ............................................................................ 59
Chapter 5 Africa ............................................................................................................ 77
Libya ............................................................................................................. 77
Nigeria ......................................................................................................... 82
Algeria .......................................................................................................... 86
Egypt ............................................................................................................ 90
Angola .......................................................................................................... 94
The Rest of Africa ...................................................................................... 98
African deep water oil ............................................................................ 102
Africa summary ........................................................................................ 103
Chapter 6 Europe ....................................................................................................... 127
United Kingdom ...................................................................................... 127
Norway ...................................................................................................... 132
France ........................................................................................................ 136
The Rest of Europe .................................................................................. 139
Europe summary ..................................................................................... 144
Chapter 7 Eurasia ........................................................................................................ 159
Russia ......................................................................................................... 159
China .......................................................................................................... 164
Kazakhstan ................................................................................................ 168
Azerbaijan ................................................................................................. 172
The Rest of Eurasia .................................................................................. 176
Chinese deep water oil production ..................................................... 181
Eurasia summary ...................................................................................... 181
Chapter 8 The East ..................................................................................................... 205
Indonesia .................................................................................................. 205
India ........................................................................................................... 210
Malaysia ..................................................................................................... 214
Australia..................................................................................................... 218
The Rest of the East ................................................................................. 222
Summary of the East ............................................................................... 226
Chapter 9 Non-Gulf Middle East ............................................................................. 249
Chapter 10 The Middle East Gulf .............................................................................. 259
Saudi Arabia.............................................................................................. 259
Iran ............................................................................................................. 264
Iraq ............................................................................................................. 268
Kuwait ........................................................................................................ 272
The Rest of the Middle East Gulf .......................................................... 276
Summary of the Middle East Gulf ........................................................ 280
Chapter 11 Deep water oil .......................................................................................... 303
Regional deep water oil production .................................................... 306
The Gulf of Mexico ................................................................................. 307
Brazil .......................................................................................................... 310
Nigeria ....................................................................................................... 313
Angola ........................................................................................................ 315
Other deep water .................................................................................... 318
Total deep water ...................................................................................... 322
Chapter 12 Non-conventional oil .............................................................................. 339
Non-conventional oil .............................................................................. 340
Canadian non-conventional .................................................................. 340
Venezuelan non-conventional .............................................................. 341
Total non-conventional .......................................................................... 342
Chapter 13 World crude oil production .................................................................. 345
Regional oil production ........................................................................ 345
World oil production .............................................................................. 349
Chapter 14 World liquids ............................................................................................ 371
Natural gas plant liquids ........................................................................ 371
Refinery gains........................................................................................... 376
Biofuels ...................................................................................................... 377
Minor liquids ............................................................................................ 378
Total liquids .............................................................................................. 378
Chapter 15 Conclusions .............................................................................................. 395
Appendix A Other forecasts ........................................................................................ 399
Early world oil forecasts ......................................................................... 399
Turn of the century world oil/liquids forecasts ................................. 400
The 2008 International Energy Agency world liquids forecast ....... 404
Appendix B Data sources ............................................................................................. 407
Glossary ................................................................................................................................ 411
References ............................................................................................................................ 417
A resource for planning for & reacting to the unexpected (storms, natural disasters and other shocks)
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Preparing those people on Ise Lodge (Kettering) Northants, interested in the future post fossil fuel.
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Jim Puplava in is latest podecast with Chris Nelder ( http://www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour/guest-expert/2012/01/13/chris-nelder/political-stand-off-in-us-energy-policy ) mentioned a new report from the Australian Government named "Transport energy futures: long-term oil supply trends and projections". I haven't read it yet but it seems interresting, here is the link:
http://aie.org.au/StaticContent/Images/Report_120106.pdf
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