Transport energy futures: long-term oil supply trends and projections

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SailAway
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Transport energy futures: long-term oil supply trends and projections

Jim Puplava in is latest podecast with Chris Nelder (  http://www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour/guest-expert/2012/01/13/chris-nelder/political-stand-off-in-us-energy-policy ) mentioned a new report from the Australian Government named "Transport energy futures: long-term oil supply trends and projections". I haven't read it yet but it seems interresting,  here is the link:

http://aie.org.au/StaticContent/Images/Report_120106.pdf

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Contents

Foreword ................................................................................................................................. iii

Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................... iv

At a glance ................................................................................................................................ v

Executive summary.............................................................................................................. xxv

Chapter 1 Oil ................................................................................................................... 1

Chapter 2 The link between oil discovery and production ................................... 5

Chapter 3 North America ........................................................................................... 15

Lower 48 states ........................................................................................... 15

Alaska ........................................................................................................... 18

Canadian conventional ............................................................................ 22

Deep water and non-conventional oil .................................................. 26

North America summary.......................................................................... 27

Chapter 4 Latin America.............................................................................................. 45

Venezuela ................................................................................................... 45

Mexico ......................................................................................................... 50

The Rest of Latin America ........................................................................ 54

Venezuelan extra heavy and Brazilian deep water ............................. 58

Latin America summary ............................................................................ 59

Chapter 5 Africa ............................................................................................................ 77

Libya ............................................................................................................. 77

Nigeria ......................................................................................................... 82

Algeria .......................................................................................................... 86

Egypt ............................................................................................................ 90

Angola .......................................................................................................... 94

The Rest of Africa ...................................................................................... 98

African deep water oil ............................................................................ 102

Africa summary ........................................................................................ 103

Chapter 6 Europe ....................................................................................................... 127

United Kingdom ...................................................................................... 127

Norway ...................................................................................................... 132

France ........................................................................................................ 136

The Rest of Europe .................................................................................. 139

Europe summary ..................................................................................... 144

Chapter 7 Eurasia ........................................................................................................ 159

Russia ......................................................................................................... 159

China .......................................................................................................... 164

Kazakhstan ................................................................................................ 168

Azerbaijan ................................................................................................. 172

The Rest of Eurasia .................................................................................. 176

Chinese deep water oil production ..................................................... 181

Eurasia summary ...................................................................................... 181

Chapter 8 The East ..................................................................................................... 205

Indonesia .................................................................................................. 205

India ........................................................................................................... 210

Malaysia ..................................................................................................... 214

Australia..................................................................................................... 218

The Rest of the East ................................................................................. 222

Summary of the East ............................................................................... 226

Chapter 9 Non-Gulf Middle East ............................................................................. 249

Chapter 10 The Middle East Gulf .............................................................................. 259

Saudi Arabia.............................................................................................. 259

Iran ............................................................................................................. 264

Iraq ............................................................................................................. 268

Kuwait ........................................................................................................ 272

The Rest of the Middle East Gulf .......................................................... 276

Summary of the Middle East Gulf ........................................................ 280

Chapter 11 Deep water oil .......................................................................................... 303

Regional deep water oil production .................................................... 306

The Gulf of Mexico ................................................................................. 307

Brazil .......................................................................................................... 310

Nigeria ....................................................................................................... 313

Angola ........................................................................................................ 315

Other deep water .................................................................................... 318

Total deep water ...................................................................................... 322

Chapter 12 Non-conventional oil .............................................................................. 339

Non-conventional oil .............................................................................. 340

Canadian non-conventional .................................................................. 340

Venezuelan non-conventional .............................................................. 341

Total non-conventional .......................................................................... 342

Chapter 13 World crude oil production .................................................................. 345

Regional oil production ........................................................................ 345

World oil production .............................................................................. 349

Chapter 14 World liquids ............................................................................................ 371

Natural gas plant liquids ........................................................................ 371

Refinery gains........................................................................................... 376

Biofuels ...................................................................................................... 377

Minor liquids ............................................................................................ 378

Total liquids .............................................................................................. 378

Chapter 15 Conclusions .............................................................................................. 395

Appendix A Other forecasts ........................................................................................ 399

Early world oil forecasts ......................................................................... 399

Turn of the century world oil/liquids forecasts ................................. 400

The 2008 International Energy Agency world liquids forecast ....... 404

Appendix B Data sources ............................................................................................. 407

Glossary ................................................................................................................................ 411

References ............................................................................................................................ 417

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