Japan

Insider

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Strange Happenings in Japan

Reckless leadership with a hidden agenda
Monday, July 11, 2016, 8:22 PM

The whole world now waits to see which central bank is up next to do the heavy lifting for the next round of stock and bond propping.

And so Japan is now front and center on that stage again. Especially since Bernanke just traveled there to conclude a "secret" meeting with Prime Minister Abe and Bank of Japan head Kuroda. » Read more

Blog

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The Great Market Tide Has Now Shifted To Risk-Off Assets

A global sea-change in risk appetite & sentiment
Friday, July 8, 2016, 3:03 PM

In the conventional investment perspective, risk-on assets (i.e. investments with higher risks and higher potential returns) such as stocks are on a see-saw with risk-off assets (investments with lower returns and lower risk, such as Treasury bonds). When risk appetites are high, institutional managers and speculators move money into stocks and high-yield junk bonds, and move money out of safe-haven assets such as gold and U.S. Treasuries.

But recently, markets are no longer following this convention. Safe haven assets such as precious metals and Treasuries are soaring at the same time that stock markets bounced strongly off the post-Brexit lows.

Risk-on assets (stocks) rising at the same time as safe-haven assets is akin to dogs marrying cats and living happily ever after. 

What the heck is going on? » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Elusive Earnings

Profits vanish as as the next recession encroaches
Wednesday, May 4, 2016, 10:55 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • Elusive Earnings
    • Corporate profits are vaporizing across all sectors
  • Non-GAAP Crap
    • Companies are increasingly contorting their books to look more solvent than they are
  • The Ramifications Of Distorting Price Signals
    • Malinvestment the world 'round
  • Inflate Or Die
    • Why helicopter money is coming
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Close To The Tipping Point

Can you feel it?
Monday, April 25, 2016, 1:19 PM

There’s something in the air: people are edgy and worried. But about what, exactly?

Despite allegedly rosy economic statistics and endless cheerleading about how the markets have bottomed and how growth is poised to come roaring back, our heads and our guts instead tell us something is very wrong.

People everywhere can feel it. They're expressing varying levels of dissatisfaction: ranging from mildly concerned, to very worried, to downright pissed off.

We see it broadly in the hostility and opinion canyons of the election cycle. Perhaps we’ve experienced it personally, through the ending of a relationship that no longer works as we need it to.

These are the signs of tipping points. The human animal senses the coming tsunami and reacts from a very deep, visceral place where emotions hold sway and reason stumbles.  We are social creatures; and not all of the cues to which we react are visible or quantifiable. » Read more

Podcast

Jim Rogers: Turmoil Is Coming

Predictions on the markets, gold, Greece & more
Saturday, June 20, 2015, 1:11 PM

Two years since his last interview with us, investor Jim Rogers returns and notes that the risks he warned of last time have only gotten worse. In this week's podcast, Jim shares his rational for predicting:

  • increased wealth confiscation by the central planners
  • a pending major financial market collapse
  • gold's return as the preferred safe haven investment
  • more oil price weakness, followed by a trend reversal
  • Russia's rebound
  • a China bubble reckoning
  • agriculture's long-term value
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In Denial: We Pursue Endless Growth At Our Peril

A requiem for planet Earth
Friday, May 29, 2015, 10:09 AM

As we've been discussing of late here at PeakProsperity.com, humans desperately need a new story to live by. The old one is increasingly dysfunctional and rather obviously headed for either a quite dismal or possibly disastrous future. One of the chief impediments to recognizing the dysfunction of the old story and adopting a new one is the most powerful of all human emotional states: Denial. » Read more

Podcast

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David Stockman: The Global Economy Has Entered The Crack-Up Phase

And will be characterized by these 4 developments
Sunday, February 15, 2015, 3:42 PM

Few people understand the global economy and its (mis)management better than David Stockman -- former director of the OMB under President Reagan, former US Representative, best-selling author of The Great Deformation, and veteran financier.

David is now loudly warning that events have entered the crack-up phase, which he predicts will be defined by the following 4 developments: » Read more

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2014 Year in Review: Part 2

Will 2015 be the year it all comes tumbling down?
Friday, December 19, 2014, 12:27 PM

This year has been all about risk—existential risk. Some of it seemed to dissipate and some lingers.  Market valuations remain risky—regression to the mean could easily provide a 50% haircut and more if we observe regression through the mean. This has not come to pass, but the risk is very real.

Those who seek risk in markets will eventually find it. » Read more

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Deflation Is Winning

And central banks are running scared
Wednesday, December 10, 2014, 11:21 AM

Remember in the early part of the last decade, long before he was appointed the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke penned an article that caught widespread public attention entitled, “Deflation: It Can’t Happen Here” ?

Bernanke was referring to the deflationary pressures Japan had been dealing with for more than a decade. In the article, Bernanke laid out a game plan for how the Fed would respond if the US ever faced deflationary pressures. His miracle antidote for battling deflation? Printing money. Lots of it.

Little did anyone know at the time that this game plan would become the Fed’s exact response to the credit market crisis and deflationary impulse that erupted in 2008 and 2009. » Read more

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Off the Cuff: 2015 Will See A Return To Global Recession

The unsustainable sugar-high of the past 5 years is ending
Thursday, November 13, 2014, 10:14 PM

In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • Bankers Behaving Badly
    • Fraud should be expected when there's no punishment for it
  • Rudderless Leadership
    • It's no wonder voters are 'throwing the bums out'
  • The Japan Time-Bomb
    • Guaranteed to blow up the global economy. But when?
  • 2015: The Year Of Return To Global Recession
    • Charles and Chris make the call