Federal Reserve



Off The Cuff: Deploy The Flying Pigs!

All rationality has left the markets
Monday, October 26, 2015, 4:06 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish discuss:

  • Looks Like We'll Need A Bigger Bazooka
    • Draghi hints at more QE
  • The Schizophrenic Fed
    • Exploring both raising & lowering rates
  • No Rationality Left
    • Depression-level results RAISES stocks?
  • Banning Physical Cash
    • Still the plan of the central bank cartel

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more



Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear?

Why the recent volatility may mark a secular shift
Friday, October 23, 2015, 3:12 PM

Emotions are running high for the investment community in the wake of recent market volatility. Up until August, we had been in the third longest period in market history without a 10% correction. Since then, stock indices sold off hard, only to bounce once again over the past two weeks of trading.

And certainly the truth is….No one knows. Especially in today’s world where global central banks can concoct further QE/monetary schemes at the drop of a hat.  Let’s face it, at this point the global central banks are all in. In fact, beyond all in. Without question, the US Fed knows that if equities fall, they lose the high end consumer. (Wal-Mart shoppers have already long been lost)  » Read more



How A Major Housing Correction Can Happen Over The Next 1.5 Years

Own a home? This is a must-read.
Friday, October 9, 2015, 4:11 PM

Executive Summary

  • The Fed Won't Be Able To Soak Up Bad Mortgages Like It Once Did
  • Chinese Capital Will Dry Up After Capital Controls Are Imposed
  • The weakening petro-dollar will weaken demand for high-end housing
  • The inevitable symmetry of bubbles will force a price mean-reversion

If you have not yet read Part 1: How Much Longer Can Our Unaffordable Housing Prices Last? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

In Part 1, we looked at factors that limit further home price appreciation—mortgage rates that can’t go much lower and stagnant household incomes—and factors that could continue to push prices higher in islands of strong job growth and global demand.

Here in Part II, we’ll look at several dynamics that could deflate the current Housing Bubble #2, even in areas currently experiencing high demand for housing such as New York City and San Francisco.

The Fed Will Encounter Political Headwinds in Pushing Money to the Wealthy

Setting aside cash buyers from overseas, a major factor in the inflation of Housing Bubble #2 was the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing programs that expanded the pool of money available to the already-wealthy while prompting very little “trickling down” of this new money to the bottom 90% of households.

The one Fed policy that aided the bottom 90% was buying $1.75 trillion of home mortgages. This unprecedented buying spree helped push mortgage rates down to equally unprecedented lows.

But as this chart shows, the Fed is... » Read more


Off The Cuff: Signs Of A Roll-Over

It increasingly looks like we're past the market peak
Thursday, October 8, 2015, 5:54 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • A Lack Of Logic
    • Markets today no longer trade on sense
  • Signs Of A Roll-Over
    • It increasingly looks like we're past the market peak
  • Black Swans Are Landing
    • Volkswagen, Glencore & Deutche Bank
  • What Separates The Rich From The Poor?
    • The Fed

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more



Buy Gold While You Still Can!

An important update on the supply of physical gold
Friday, September 25, 2015, 2:56 PM

This report centers on preponderance of fascinating data revealing the extent of the West's massive dis-hoarding of physical gold, for the first time, begins to allow us to start estimating the range of end-dates for the flow to the East.

Here’s the punchline: there’s an enormous and growing disconnect between the cash and physical markets for gold. This is exactly what we would expect to precede a major market-shaking event based on a physical gold shortage. » Read more


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The War On Cash Intensifies

Negative interest rates. A ban on cash. Pick your poison.
Monday, September 21, 2015, 8:45 PM

The central planners are setting the stage for the next round of officially sanctioned theft and this time they mean to assure that you have no way(s) of escaping.

They’re coming for your cash. This is a risk that Charles Hughes Smith explored for us back in June in a very well-received analysis.

Once a fringe idea, this concept is now being openly discussed and debated at the highest levels publicly. Which means it is being hotly discussed behind closed doors, and likely has been for a long time. » Read more


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Kurt Cobb: Money Cannot Manufacture Resources

Disproving the fatal assumption central planners make
Monday, September 21, 2015, 11:12 AM

Author Kurt Cobb writes frequently on energy and the environment and warns that our current economic policy suffers from a fatal degree of magical thinking: sufficient new resources will emerge if the price is high enough. » Read more



When Nothing Means A Lot

Why the Fed’s failure to act is a bad sign
Thursday, September 17, 2015, 11:12 PM

Today, Thursday September 17, 2015, the most anticipated decision in all of financial history was made.

Or not made, as it turned out. » Read more


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Buckle Up, The Ride Is Going To Get Wilder

High probability of greater market turmoil ahead
Tuesday, September 1, 2015, 4:01 PM

The recent stock market and financial turbulence is going to get worse -- possibly a lot worse. This will be true even in the 'core' countries (US, Europe, Japan), while peripheral countries are suffering unusual levels of turmoil.

It’s nothing personal. This is simply how things were always destined to end. » Read more



Marc Faber: The Global Economy Is Entering An Epic Slump

Losses are going to get ugly, fast
Sunday, August 23, 2015, 5:32 PM

Famed investor and author of the Gloom, Doom, Boom Report, Marc Faber, returns to the podcast this week to discuss the slowdown in the global economy, signs of which he claims are multiplying fast all around the world.

He predicts the next year is going to be an especially bruising one for investors, and recommends a combination of diversification and defense for those with financial capital to protect. » Read more