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How Much Higher Can The U.S. Dollar Go?

And what will the implications be?
Wednesday, November 25, 2015, 12:11 PM

Our first observation is that trends in the USD tend to last for some time, so if this rally follows the pattern of previous rallies, it’s unlikely to have run its course in one year.

Secondly, previous rallies paused for a multi-month consolidation period before launching upward for the second leg of the long-term rally.

Thirdly, the USD rose sharply to previous peaks and then round-tripped back to the 80 level.

This raises the question: How high could the dollar rise in this rally? » Read more


What Money Means

It's important, but it's not everything
Tuesday, November 17, 2015, 3:43 PM

There's no doubt that money is important. There's good reason why most of us devote a huge percentage of our lives to pursuing it.

But there's much about money that is misunderstood. » Read more



Making The World A More Dangerous Place

US foreign policy at work
Friday, November 6, 2015, 8:06 PM

Without any doubt, the Middle East has been a very long-simmering region of violent religious and tribal enmity.

In that regard, perhaps today is no different than 1,000 years ago. But given the importance of the remaining oil in the Middle East to the next 20 years of global economic health, the violence and chaos seen there recently is hugely important to the entire world. » Read more


Peak Prosperity

Announcing Our New Book: Prosper!

The long-awaited sequel to The Crash Course
Friday, October 30, 2015, 6:37 PM

Our new book Prosper!: How To Prepare for the Future and Create a World Worth Inheriting offers a blueprint for taking control of and improving your destiny.

It outlines practical, actionable investments of your time & resources that will ensure you enjoy greater prosperity in your life, whatever the future may bring. » Read more


Brian A Jackson/Shutterstock

The Fatal Blindness of Unrealistic Expectations

We are damned to fail when we avoid hard truths
Wednesday, October 28, 2015, 9:10 PM

We, as a society, have very much indeed lived beyond our means. By building up such a tremendous amount of debt through our profligacy that a small rise in interest rates would be catastrophic. That our children and children's children will be "paying backwards" for our largess, unless some debt-clearing event transpires (which I think will). » Read more



Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear?

Why the recent volatility may mark a secular shift
Friday, October 23, 2015, 3:12 PM

Emotions are running high for the investment community in the wake of recent market volatility. Up until August, we had been in the third longest period in market history without a 10% correction. Since then, stock indices sold off hard, only to bounce once again over the past two weeks of trading.

And certainly the truth is….No one knows. Especially in today’s world where global central banks can concoct further QE/monetary schemes at the drop of a hat.  Let’s face it, at this point the global central banks are all in. In fact, beyond all in. Without question, the US Fed knows that if equities fall, they lose the high end consumer. (Wal-Mart shoppers have already long been lost)  » Read more


EXCLUSIVE: The Smoking Gun Proving Silver & Gold Manipulation

We have the data. And it tells a clear story.
Friday, October 16, 2015, 6:46 PM

Gold price suppression!

The amount of ink spilled on this topic could fill a supertanker.  Goldbugs the world over believe in the suppression story as an article of faith, and indeed, the evidence that “something is happening” appears incontrovertible.

Given how important the subject is to Peak Prosperity and the bullion-owning community, and the volume of energy we expend talking (and talking, and talking, and talking) about it, how much information do we really have about what is actually going on?  » Read more


The Death Of Hopium

Tech Bubble 3.0 is in the process of bursting
Tuesday, October 13, 2015, 3:48 PM

I got my MBA at Stanford in 1999 when the dot-com bubble was at its zenith, worked for a VC-funded start-up as well as one of the biggest Internet juggernauts (Yahoo!). I lived in Palo Alto, the central core of the tech scene.

As a result, I have a pretty good read on how Silicon Valley works. Many of the folks I worked and went to school with are now in leadership positions at the big operating companies, VC firms and hedge funds in that ecosystem now -- so I have personal knowledge of who's making the decisions.

And it's no secret that I think it's degenerated into a steaming pile of hucksterism. » Read more



How Much Longer Can Our Unaffordable Housing Prices Last?

Spoiler alert: not much
Friday, October 9, 2015, 4:12 PM

Markets discover price via supply and demand: Big demand + limited supply = rising prices. Abundant supply + sagging demand = declining prices.

Eventually, prices rise to a level that is unaffordable to the majority of potential buyers, with demand coming only from the wealthy. That’s the story of housing in New York City, the San Francisco Bay Area and other desirable locales that are currently magnets for global capital. » Read more


Zacarias Pereira da Mata/Shutterstock

Deflation Warning: The Next Wave

The global economic slump is accelerating
Wednesday, September 30, 2015, 11:36 PM

The signs of deflation are now flashing all over the globe. In our estimation, the possibility of an associated financial crisis is now dangerously high over the next few months. » Read more