Blog

Enter a comma separated list of user names.
Blog

Peak Prosperity Seminar: Thriving in Any Future

Could your resiliency-building use a boost?
Friday, February 22, 2013, 8:47 AM

They say don't fight the Fed.  Perhaps that's good advice, but it doesn't go nearly far enough. 

Not when the entire modern world is collectively ignoring numerous bright, flashing warning lights and deluding itself about the chances that can-kicking will somehow, this time if never before, evade the laws of physics as well as the collective lessons of history. » Read more

Blog

Gold's Regular Morning Mugging

A broad daylight crime-in-progress?
Tuesday, February 19, 2013, 9:38 PM

Not everyone is a morning person. And few people like Mondays.

But if you're a precious metals investor, mornings especially Mondays are brutal.

The Evidence

The precious metals are routinely sold off at or soon after the 8am morning open of the New York NYMEX exchange.

Below are the daily gold price charts (source: Kitco) for each Monday (or Tuesday, if Monday was a holiday) since early this year. The current day's gold price is noted by the bright green line. The morning takedown is highlighted by the orange oval. » Read more

Blog

The Arrival of Japan's Sunset

The repercussions will be tremendous
Monday, February 18, 2013, 6:05 PM

For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled. ~ Richard Feynman

Waiting for Japan's economy to make a strong recovery has been an ongoing game since 1990. Shall we play that game one more time? » Read more

Blog

The Real Reason the Economy Is Broken (and Will Stay That Way)

More and more economic sinkholes
Tuesday, February 12, 2013, 9:54 PM

We are far enough and deep enough into the most heroic monetary and fiscal efforts ever undertaken to finally ask, why aren't these measures working?

Or at least we should be.  Oddly, many in DC, on Wall Street, and the Federal Reserve continue to steadfastly refuse to include anything in their approaches and frameworks other than "more of the same."

So we are treated to an endless parade of news items that seek to convince us that a bottom is in and that we've 'turned the corner' often on the flimsy basis that in the past things have always gotten better by now. » Read more

Blog

Don’t Worry; Be Resilient

Reduce fragility and vulnerability
Tuesday, February 12, 2013, 10:23 AM

At some point, absorbing more information about the unsustainability of the Status Quo yields diminishing returns; it becomes emotionally draining and thus counterproductive.  Part of this exhaustion results from recognizing our powerlessness within the Status Quo, where independent thinking and structural innovation are winnowed out as threats to existing institutions and industries. » Read more

Blog

Time to Choose

A fundamentals-driven breakout seems imminent. But which dir
Friday, February 8, 2013, 7:44 AM

Whether you're aware of it or not, a great battle is being waged around us.

It is a war of two opposing narratives: the future of our economy and our standard of living.

The dominant story, championed by flotillas of press releases and parading talking heads, tells an inspiring tale of recovery and return to growth. 

The other side, less visible but with a full armament of high-caliber data, tells a very different story. One of growing instability, downside risk, and inequality.

As different as they are in substance, they both share one fundamental prediction and this is why you should care: This battle is about to break. And when it does, one side will turn out to be much more 'right' than the other. The time for action has arrived. To position yourself in the direction of the break you think is most likely to happen.

It's time to choose a side. » Read more

Blog

QE for Dummies

Understanding the most outlandish monetary experiment ever c
Tuesday, February 5, 2013, 11:25 AM

A PeakProsperity.com reader recently lamented:

I have been trying to get my head around the mechanism of QE. Not being an economist or experienced investor I don't really understand a lot of the jargon. The usual simple definition of QE as "thin air money printing" does not satisfy my need for understanding either. Have hunted for a description of QE for dummies that leaves me feeling like I get it, but with no luck. My difficulty is in understanding how thin air money gets into circulation.

So I'm going to do my best to answer this plea in as intuitive and straightforward a manner as I can. I, too, share the need to understand the mechanism of a process in order to feel like I have a grasp of it.  And I think it's critically important to understand QE (also known by its full name, "quantitative easing") and what it really represents. Because it is, without a doubt, one of the largest market-shaping forces of our times. » Read more

Blog

The Siren Song of the Robot

It may not be the boon we're counting on
Tuesday, January 29, 2013, 1:03 PM

The quest for cheap energy and cheap labor is a conquering human urge, one that has played out with notable ferocity starting with the Industrial Revolution. The introduction of coal into British manufacturing and the more recent outsourcing of Western manufacturing to Asia have marked key thresholds in this ongoing progression.

But despite the harvesting of additional productivity gains from the more recent revolution in information technology, the suite of macro data suggests that the rate of advancement in physical production has slowed, notably, in the past thirty years.

Seen in this light, the greatest gains to global industrial production were probably enjoyed from the late 18th century (when coal extraction and use began in earnest) into the mid-20th century (when oil reached broad distribution). In contrast, computers, the Internet, and the leveraging of developing world labor might eventually be seen as the finishing touches on this great industrial wave. » Read more

Blog

The Tangled Relationship Between Wealth & Money

And why we're focusing on the wrong economic 'fixes'
Tuesday, January 22, 2013, 9:43 AM

One of the most dangerous mistakes possible to make in trying to understand the shape of the economic future is to think of the fundamental concepts of economics as simple and uncontroversial.  They aren’t. 

In economics, as in all other fields, the fundamentals are where disguised ideologies and unexamined presuppositions are most likely to hide out, precisely because nobody questions them. » Read more

Blog

Photo credit Rowe Camp & Conference Center

Join us at the Rowe MA Weekend Seminar

March 15-17 (just two months to go!)
Friday, January 18, 2013, 9:41 PM

Whether you are brand new to this site or a longtime veteran, take a moment to ask yourself this question: Am I as physically, emotionally, and financially prepared as I feel I should be for a post Peak Oil future?

If the answer is "no," don't panic. Almost none of us (Chris included) are able to answer that question fully in the affirmative.

It's a well-known fact that when people are anxious or fearful, their ability to act is significantly diminished. Our weekend-long seminars are designed to help provide clarity, focus, and relief from the anxiety you might feel about the future -- and, most importantly, to get you effectively oriented to take constructive action within the highest-priority areas of your life. » Read more