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The Deflation Monster Has Arrived

And it sure looks angry
Friday, January 15, 2016, 8:53 PM

As we’ve been warning for quite a while (too long for my taste): the world’s grand experiment with debt has come to an end. And it’s now unraveling.

Just in the two weeks since the start of 2016, the US equity markets are down almost 10%. Their worst start to the year in history. Many other markets across the world are suffering worse.

If you watched stock prices today, you likely had flashbacks to the financial crisis of 2008. At one point the Dow was down over 500 points, the S&P cracked below key support at 1,900, and the price of oil dropped below $30/barrel. Scared investors are wondering:  What the heck is happening? Many are also fearfully asking: Are we re-entering another crisis? » Read more

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Markets Are Correcting Hard

An assessment of the risks of things getting worse from here
Friday, January 8, 2016, 1:41 AM

The long-awaited global financial market correction has arrived. We are seeing collapses in all major markets and across all major categories.

As usual, the pain has started at the edges, in the weaker elements (emerging markets, junk bonds, weak companies, etc.) and is rapidly spreading towards the center. » Read more

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How To Lose Weight

Adam's first-hand experience
Friday, January 1, 2016, 1:15 PM

Happy New Year's Day!

If you're like most people around the world, you're spending time today planning your resolutions for 2016.

And if you're like most people, 'losing weight' is probably on your list. » Read more

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Boosting Our Message

3 easy steps that really do help
Thursday, December 31, 2015, 2:06 PM

Our new book Prosper!: How to Prepare for the Future and Create a World Worth Inheriting has been out for a little over a month now. All in all, it's off to a very good start. » Read more

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The Rising Threats To Our Health

Around the world, general health is declining
Tuesday, December 29, 2015, 3:35 PM

Though evidence of a looming global healthcare crisis is plainly visible, few seem to realize the consequences will be catastrophic to individuals, households and national economies.

Here is a list—by no means exhaustive—of major health issues threatening hundreds of millions of people globally. » Read more

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2015 Year In Review

Scenic vistas from Mount Stupid
Friday, December 18, 2015, 9:37 PM

I am penning my seventh “Year in Review.” These summaries began exclusively for myself, evolved into a sort of holiday cheer for a couple hundred e-quaintances with whom I had been affiliating since my earliest days as a market bear in the late ’90s, and metastasized into the Tower of Babble—longer than a Ken Burns miniseries—summarizing the human follies that capture my attention each year.

I wade through the year’s most extreme lunacies as well as a few special topics while trying to find the overarching themes. Somehow 450 pages of notes, quotes, and anecdotes describing a web of interconnected concepts must be distilled into the “Year in Review,” all in a few short weeks. So let’s head to the choppers. » Read more

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2015 Year In Review (Part 2)

A bonfire of the sanities
Friday, December 18, 2015, 9:35 PM
As regards the banks, we have come down from the trees but are not out of the woods yet.
 
The six biggest banks are ginormous—50% larger than they were at the previous high at the start of the crisis—but the sector was relatively quiet this year. Hundreds of billions in fines have been levied by various governmental Rainbow Coalitions.
 
As statutes of limitations began to run out, Eric Holder and authorities declared there would be no prosecutions of individuals responsible for the crisis.
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The Screaming Fundamentals For Owning Gold

We're at a moment of historic opportunity
Tuesday, December 8, 2015, 12:53 PM

Every year or two we update this report, which lays out the investment thesis for gold. Here is this year's version.

Silver is touched upon only as necessary; as a separate report of equal scope is required for that precious metal.

Gold is one of the few investments that every investor should have in their portfolio. We are now at the dangerous end-game period of a very bold but very reckless & disappointing experiment with the world's fiat (unbacked) currencies. If this experiment fails -- and we observe it's in the process of failing -- gold will provide one of the best forms of wealth insurance. But like all insurance products, it only works if you buy it before you need to rely on it. » Read more

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PeakProsperity.com

The Prosper! Audio Book Is Now Available

Downloadable on Audible.com & other sites
Thursday, December 3, 2015, 1:37 AM

Finally!

The audio version of our new book Prosper! How to Prepare for the Future and Create a World Worth Inheriting, narrated by Chris, is now available for download. » Read more

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How Much Higher Can The U.S. Dollar Go?

And what will the implications be?
Wednesday, November 25, 2015, 1:11 PM

Our first observation is that trends in the USD tend to last for some time, so if this rally follows the pattern of previous rallies, it’s unlikely to have run its course in one year.

Secondly, previous rallies paused for a multi-month consolidation period before launching upward for the second leg of the long-term rally.

Thirdly, the USD rose sharply to previous peaks and then round-tripped back to the 80 level.

This raises the question: How high could the dollar rise in this rally? » Read more