<i>So again... how did Zimbabwe go wrong Rodger? </i>
Robert Mugabe stole farm land from people who knew how to farm, and gave it to people who didn't.
Next question.
Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
Rodger,
I'm rather disappointed in your responses. There is an expectation on this site that extraordinary assertions need extraordinary support. I agree that Mugabe stole farm land, but was that his only crime against his people? Am I to assume that had he not stolen farm land, that everything would be okay? Do you really believe that to be the case? What about all the other examples that Davos cited?
Everyone knows federal deficit spending causes inflation, and we're right at the tipping point.
O.K., so there has been zero relationship between federal deficit and inflation since the Unites States became Monetarily Sovereign in 1971 -- 41 years!. See: rodgermmitchell.wordpress.com/2010/04/06/more-thoughts-on-inflation/
And gosh, there has been zero relationship between federal deficits and inflation since 1952 -- 60 years! See: research.stlouisfed.org/fredgraph.png
But surely, with the massive deficits we've had, and the big ones projected, those deficits will cause inflation in the near future. Everyone knows that. Oops: See: www.clevelandfed.org/research/data/inflation_expectations/index.cfm
Well, what will you believe, 60 years of data plus projections based on data -- or intuition?
Yes, what? ![]()
Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
I read through some of your articles, trying to understand your point. I saw "monetary" and "sovereign" many times, but no real explanation of what exactly your theory entails. Would you be so kind as to post a link to a site that explains your theory? The Wikipedia site wasn't too helpful http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monetary_sovereignty. I'm interested in how it works and particularly where it has worked in history. It would also be interesting to see where the regimes that Davos cited went wrong.
As flawed as the Fed's CPI calculation is, at least they have data presented in many forms to see how the index has progressed over time. Your link shows year on year changes for federal government debt versus CPI. Since there isn't a correlation between these 2 graphed series, you assume that there isn't any correlation between government debt and inflation. Let's look at a longer time scale to see if any correlation becomes evident.
This link just shows the cumulative effects of the inflation index over time: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CPIAUCSL. Note the change in slope that occurred a few years before Nixon closed the gold window in 1971. This link shows the cumulative federal government debt: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/GFDEBTN. Sorry that I couldn't find a link at the fed site that contained both these graphs together. It would also be nice to see it on a semi-log scale so that small perturbations at the beginning of the rise become evident.
From my understanding of your theory, the amount of debt that the government carries is of no concern. How will the debt get repaid (without rolling it over to more debt)? How do you avoid the "Zimbabwe Syndrome"? Which demographic groups benefit most and which get the least benefit from this arrangement? (I'm generally looking at how fair this system is for the poor, middle, and rich classes for each of the generations it impacts from inception until its ultimate demise in the future.)
Yes, Zimbabwe is a great authority for you. I suggest you listen to everything Robert Mugabe's bank tells you. And also believe him if he tells you he didn't steal farm land from farmers and give it to people who had no clue about farming, and that didn't cause the collapse of his agrarian economy. He's a great source of information.
It's been fun. Not informative, but fun. See you in a few years. Meanwhile, if you want to learn economics, try: moslereconomics.com/2012/03/16/inflation-expectations/
Rodger Malcolm Mitchell
You've generated quite a bit of heat, but not too much illumination with your posts. To be fair, some of the posts directed at you were less than respectful. Nonetheless, I'd like to continue the conversation on this thread. If your theory has merit, I'd like to know more about it. Right now, I'm not convinced that it is more than a grand deception.
I hope you will treat me with as much respect as I give you.
Grover
Marc Faber does not mince words. He believes that the money printing policies of the Federal Reserve and its sister central banks around the globe have put the world's currencies on an inexorable, accelerating, inflationary down slope.
Dr. Faber publishes a widely read monthly investment newsletter, 




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