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The Global Credit Market Is Now A Lit Powderkeg

And markets are totally unprepared
Friday, June 26, 2015, 12:53 PM

Although the Street seems to agonize over equity valuations and recent price volatility, as I see it the real issue is the global bond market. Why?

Globally, the value of outstanding credit instruments is three times the total value of publicly traded equities. Just which do you imagine is more important to institutional investors? » Read more

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Credit Market Warning

Long-awaited signs of danger are materializing
Friday, June 19, 2015, 12:50 PM

There are large signs of stress now present in the credit markets. You might not know it from today's multi-generationally low interest rates, but other key measures such as liquidity and volatility are flashing worrying signs. » Read more

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The War On Cash: Officially Sanctioned Theft

How banks & the government are diminishing your savings
Friday, June 12, 2015, 12:07 PM

You’ve probably read that there is a “war on cash” being waged on various fronts around the world. What exactly does a “war on cash” mean?

It means governments are limiting the use of cash and a variety of official-mouthpiece economists are calling for the outright abolition of cash. Authorities are both restricting the amount of cash that can be withdrawn from banks, and limiting what can be purchased with cash.

These limits are broadly called capital controls. » Read more

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As Goes The Credit Market, So Goes The World

When confidence cracks, we'll see it there first
Friday, June 5, 2015, 11:46 AM

During the prior economic cycle of 2003-2007, one question I asked again and again was: Is the US running on a business cycle or a credit cycle?

That question was prompted by a series of data I have tracked for decades; data that tells a very important story about the character of the US economy. Specifically, that data series is the relationship of total US Credit Market Debt relative to US GDP. » Read more

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In Denial: We Pursue Endless Growth At Our Peril

A requiem for planet Earth
Friday, May 29, 2015, 10:09 AM

As we've been discussing of late here at PeakProsperity.com, humans desperately need a new story to live by. The old one is increasingly dysfunctional and rather obviously headed for either a quite dismal or possibly disastrous future. One of the chief impediments to recognizing the dysfunction of the old story and adopting a new one is the most powerful of all human emotional states: Denial. » Read more

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4 Factors Signaling Volatility Will Return With A Vengeance

Buckle up. It's going to get bumpy.
Wednesday, May 20, 2015, 9:43 AM

No one could have predicted the sheer scope of global monetary policy bolstering the private banking and trading system. Yet, here we were - ensconced in the seventh year of capital markets being buoyed by coordinated government and central bank strategies. It’s Keynesianism for Wall Street.

The unprecedented nature of this international effort has provided an illusion of stability, albeit reliant on artificial stimulus to the private sector in the form of cheap money, tempered currency rates (except the dollar - so far) and multi-trillion dollar bond buying programs. It is the most expensive, blatant aid for major financial players ever conceived and executed. But the facade is fading. Even those sustaining this madness, like the IMF, are issuing warnings about increasing volatility. » Read more

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The Self-Employed Middle Class Hardly Exists Anymore

Why owning your own income is more important than ever now
Saturday, May 16, 2015, 4:57 AM

Of course, the easiest path to financial independence is being born into a wealthy, well-connected family.

But since few of us win that born-rich lottery, this article addresses the important question: How do “the rest of us” carve out financial independence? » Read more

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A New Story

Meld minds with Chris, Becca & Charles Eisenstein
Friday, May 15, 2015, 7:50 PM

In the recent post on the need for a new set of founding documents and the burning need for a new narrative, it was suggested that I talk with Charles Eisenstein again because he’s one of the great thought leaders in this area.

Well, I can do one better than that. I was recently offered the chance, along with Becca, to join in a whole day of new story development with Charles. » Read more

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Oleksii Sergieiev, Dreamstime

For Heaven's Sake: Hedge!

If you're not positioned defensively by now, you're nuts
Thursday, April 30, 2015, 10:58 PM

Last fall, I wrote an article titled Defying Gravity that warned of the absurd price levels that stocks and bonds had risen to. Less than a month later, the stock market abruptly dropped by 7%. Those who didn't seek safety in advance were left licking their wounds, panicked not knowing if the painful down-draft was over.

So here we are roughly six months later, and the same warning bells are ringing -- just louder this time. » Read more

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Rising Police Aggression A Telling Indicator Of Our Societal Decline

A historially common marker of failing civilizations
Friday, April 24, 2015, 12:22 PM

It’s time to face some uncomfortable ideas about the state of civilization in the United States.  It is no longer the beacon of freedom illuminating a better way for the world, because it is becoming more and more uncivilized by the day.

The recent spate of police brutality videos and the complete lack of a useful or even any reasonable response by the police unions has shaped this piece of writing, but it goes well beyond those incidents and extends into all corners of the lives of US citizens now. » Read more